Points
56Points expected by the market
53.35Gap
+2.65Yield
−9.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 32 | +2.52 | −1.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −1.52 | −49.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 11 | +1.65 | +19.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 32 | +4.12 | +5.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.28 | −28.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.60 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −1.80 | −61.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 11 | +1.65 | +19.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Goias · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +0.99 |
| M2 | Fluminense · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | +0.34 |
| M3 | Atletico-MG · Away30 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −0.38 |
| M4 | Flamengo RJ · Home7 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +1.34 |
| M5 | Internacional · Away10 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +3.45 |
| M6 | Coritiba · Home14 May 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.98 | +4.43 |
| M7 | Bragantino · Away20 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +3.51 |
| M8 | Gremio · Home27 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | +1.53 |
| M9 | Botafogo RJ · Home3 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.86 |
| M10 | America MG · Away11 Jun 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | +2.57 |
| M11 | Sao Paulo · Away21 Jun 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +1.71 |
| M12 | Corinthians · Home24 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.96 |
| M13 | Palmeiras · Home2 Jul 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +2.43 |
| M14 | Fortaleza · Away9 Jul 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.66 | +1.77 |
| M15 | Bahia · Home16 Jul 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +2.73 |
| M16 | Vasco · Away23 Jul 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +4.37 |
| M17 | Cruzeiro · Home29 Jul 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.83 | +3.54 |
| M18 | Santos · Away5 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +3.41 |
| M19 | Cuiaba · Home16 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +4.58 |
| M20 | Goias · Away22 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +4.20 |
| M21 | Fluminense · Home27 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +3.33 |
| M22 | Atletico-MG · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +2.81 |
| M23 | Flamengo RJ · Away14 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +4.95 |
| M24 | Internacional · Home21 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +5.98 |
| M25 | Coritiba · Away1 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | +4.38 |
| M26 | Bragantino · Home8 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +3.99 |
| M27 | Gremio · Away18 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +5.94 |
| M28 | Botafogo RJ · Away22 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +6.01 |
| M29 | America MG · Home25 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.94 | +6.95 |
| M30 | Sao Paulo · Home29 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +6.27 |
| M31 | Corinthians · Away1 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | +4.97 |
| M32 | Palmeiras · Away5 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | +4.17 |
| M33 | Fortaleza · Home8 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +3.46 |
| M34 | Bahia · Away12 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +3.27 |
| M35 | Vasco · Home25 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +2.54 |
| M36 | Cruzeiro · Away30 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +2.54 |
| M37 | Santos · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +3.81 |
| M38 | Cuiaba · Away7 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | +2.65 |
| Total | 56 | +2.65 | |||