Points
66Points expected by the market
62.42Gap
+3.58Yield
+21.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.29 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 40 | +0.23 | −3.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −2.83 | −43.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 12 | +8.47 | +374.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.29 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 32 | +0.86 | +1.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.87 | +11.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.63 | −20.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.70 | −54.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 12 | +8.47 | +374.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Vasco · Home16 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −1.84 |
| M2 | Santos · Away23 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −2.35 |
| M3 | Athletico-PR · Home30 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −1.38 |
| M4 | Botafogo RJ · Away7 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −2.99 |
| M5 | Cuiaba · Away11 May 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −1.61 |
| M6 | Internacional · Home14 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.95 | −0.66 |
| M7 | Coritiba · Away20 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +0.51 |
| M8 | Palmeiras · Home28 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.04 |
| M9 | Cruzeiro · Away3 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.43 |
| M10 | Bragantino · Home10 Jun 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | +0.57 |
| M11 | Fluminense · Away22 Jun 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.18 |
| M12 | Fortaleza · Away24 Jun 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.17 |
| M13 | America MG · Home2 Jul 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.12 | −2.30 |
| M14 | Corinthians · Home8 Jul 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | −4.18 |
| M15 | Goias · Away18 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −4.92 |
| M16 | Gremio · Away23 Jul 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −6.14 |
| M17 | Flamengo RJ · Home30 Jul 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −7.74 |
| M18 | Sao Paulo · Away6 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −5.68 |
| M19 | Bahia · Home13 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −4.72 |
| M20 | Vasco · Away20 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −6.03 |
| M21 | Santos · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | −5.10 |
| M22 | Athletico-PR · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −5.27 |
| M23 | Botafogo RJ · Home17 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −3.85 |
| M24 | Cuiaba · Home24 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −2.91 |
| M25 | Internacional · Away1 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.48 |
| M26 | Coritiba · Home8 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.29 | −3.77 |
| M27 | Palmeiras · Away19 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.17 | −1.60 |
| M28 | Cruzeiro · Home22 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.82 | −3.42 |
| M29 | Bragantino · Away25 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | −1.35 |
| M30 | Fluminense · Home29 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −0.26 |
| M31 | Fortaleza · Home2 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +0.83 |
| M32 | America MG · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −0.01 |
| M33 | Corinthians · Away9 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.33 |
| M34 | Goias · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +0.60 |
| M35 | Gremio · Home26 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +1.71 |
| M36 | Flamengo RJ · Away29 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +3.88 |
| M37 | Sao Paulo · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +4.90 |
| M38 | Bahia · Away7 Dec 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.32 | +3.58 |
| Total | 66 | +3.58 | |||