Points
44Points expected by the market
48.28Gap
−4.28Yield
−15.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.71 | −22.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | −0.03 | −0.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 12 | −1.38 | −24.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −1.99 | −13.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −2.40 | −38.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.93 | +258.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.72 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +2.37 | +100.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 9 | −3.31 | −42.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bragantino · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.94 |
| M2 | Botafogo RJ · Home25 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −2.59 |
| M3 | Vasco · Away2 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −0.45 |
| M4 | Coritiba · Home7 May 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +0.64 |
| M5 | Santos · Away10 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.49 |
| M6 | Flamengo RJ · Home13 May 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.70 |
| M7 | Goias · Home20 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | −2.63 |
| M8 | Internacional · Away28 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −3.69 |
| M9 | Fortaleza · Away3 Jun 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | −3.44 |
| M10 | Cruzeiro · Home10 Jun 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −3.75 |
| M11 | Palmeiras · Home22 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | −1.82 |
| M12 | Fluminense · Away24 Jun 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −2.52 |
| M13 | Gremio · Home1 Jul 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.84 |
| M14 | Cuiaba · Away8 Jul 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −3.68 |
| M15 | Athletico-PR · Away16 Jul 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −4.40 |
| M16 | Corinthians · Home22 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −4.99 |
| M17 | Sao Paulo · Away30 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.25 | −4.75 |
| M18 | America MG · Home6 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −3.50 |
| M19 | Atletico-MG · Away13 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −4.21 |
| M20 | Bragantino · Home20 Aug 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −2.69 |
| M21 | Botafogo RJ · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −3.63 |
| M22 | Vasco · Home3 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −4.30 |
| M23 | Coritiba · Away15 Sep 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.72 | −2.58 |
| M24 | Santos · Home19 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.96 | −4.53 |
| M25 | Flamengo RJ · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −5.22 |
| M26 | Goias · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 6-4 | 3 | +1.79 | −3.43 |
| M27 | Internacional · Home19 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −2.11 |
| M28 | Fortaleza · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −0.75 |
| M29 | Cruzeiro · Away26 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −1.71 |
| M30 | Palmeiras · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.50 | −2.21 |
| M31 | Fluminense · Home31 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | −1.37 |
| M32 | Gremio · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.22 |
| M33 | Cuiaba · Home9 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.82 | −4.04 |
| M34 | Athletico-PR · Home12 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −4.56 |
| M35 | Corinthians · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.97 | −2.59 |
| M36 | Sao Paulo · Home29 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −4.16 |
| M37 | America MG · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.72 | −5.88 |
| M38 | Atletico-MG · Home7 Dec 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −4.28 |
| Total | 44 | −4.28 | |||