Points
64Points expected by the market
53.34Gap
+10.66Yield
+42.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 23 | −0.78 | −14.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 21 | +0.81 | +0.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 20 | +10.64 | +180.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 22 | +0.10 | −6.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +3.36 | +60.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.90 | +250.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.88 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −2.55 | −39.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 17 | +8.74 | +172.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sao Paulo · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.51 |
| M2 | Bahia · Away25 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +3.46 |
| M3 | Flamengo RJ · Away30 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.25 | +5.71 |
| M4 | Atletico-MG · Home7 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +7.61 |
| M5 | Corinthians · Home11 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +8.81 |
| M6 | Goias · Away14 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +7.30 |
| M7 | Fluminense · Home20 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +8.96 |
| M8 | America MG · Home28 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +10.12 |
| M9 | Athletico-PR · Away3 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +9.07 |
| M10 | Fortaleza · Home11 Jun 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +10.49 |
| M11 | Cuiaba · Away23 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +12.20 |
| M12 | Palmeiras · Away25 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.37 | +14.57 |
| M13 | Vasco · Home2 Jul 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +15.79 |
| M14 | Gremio · Away9 Jul 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.10 | +17.89 |
| M15 | Bragantino · Home16 Jul 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +19.24 |
| M16 | Santos · Away23 Jul 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | +18.87 |
| M17 | Coritiba · Home30 Jul 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.04 | +19.91 |
| M18 | Cruzeiro · Away6 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +19.74 |
| M19 | Internacional · Home13 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +21.21 |
| M20 | Sao Paulo · Away19 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | +21.24 |
| M21 | Bahia · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +22.45 |
| M22 | Flamengo RJ · Home3 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | +21.00 |
| M23 | Atletico-MG · Away17 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | +19.88 |
| M24 | Corinthians · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | +18.52 |
| M25 | Goias · Home3 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | +17.52 |
| M26 | Fluminense · Away8 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +19.52 |
| M27 | America MG · Away19 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +21.11 |
| M28 | Athletico-PR · Home22 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +20.33 |
| M29 | Cuiaba · Home29 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.98 | +18.35 |
| M30 | Palmeiras · Home2 Nov 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.26 | +17.09 |
| M31 | Vasco · Away6 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | +15.90 |
| M32 | Gremio · Home9 Nov 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.74 | +14.16 |
| M33 | Bragantino · Away12 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.16 | +14.32 |
| M34 | Fortaleza · Away23 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | +14.21 |
| M35 | Santos · Home26 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +13.38 |
| M36 | Coritiba · Away30 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | +12.50 |
| M37 | Cruzeiro · Home3 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | +11.74 |
| M38 | Internacional · Away7 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | +10.66 |
| Total | 64 | +10.66 | |||