Points
62Points expected by the market
59.16Gap
+2.84Yield
−8.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.26 | +30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 29 | −1.16 | −13.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 24 | +4.22 | +22.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.49 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.26 | +30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 29 | −1.16 | −13.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.77 | +199.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +2.45 | +9.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.49 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bahia · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +1.20 |
| M2 | Cuiaba · Away22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.93 |
| M3 | Cruzeiro · Home29 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.77 | −0.84 |
| M4 | Gremio · Away7 May 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.81 |
| M5 | America MG · Home10 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.83 | −1.65 |
| M6 | Palmeiras · Away13 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −1.38 |
| M7 | Athletico-PR · Home20 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −0.19 |
| M8 | Santos · Home28 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +0.93 |
| M9 | Fluminense · Away4 Jun 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.06 |
| M10 | Atletico-MG · Away10 Jun 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.20 |
| M11 | Flamengo RJ · Home23 Jun 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +1.98 |
| M12 | Goias · Home25 Jun 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +2.76 |
| M13 | Corinthians · Away2 Jul 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +4.42 |
| M14 | Sao Paulo · Home9 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.95 | +3.47 |
| M15 | Botafogo RJ · Away16 Jul 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +2.41 |
| M16 | Internacional · Home23 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.90 | +1.51 |
| M17 | Fortaleza · Away29 Jul 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +3.37 |
| M18 | Coritiba · Away6 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +4.82 |
| M19 | Vasco · Home15 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | +3.80 |
| M20 | Bahia · Away20 Aug 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.24 | +2.56 |
| M21 | Cuiaba · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +3.61 |
| M22 | Cruzeiro · Away3 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +3.40 |
| M23 | Gremio · Home15 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.49 |
| M24 | America MG · Away20 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +6.03 |
| M25 | Palmeiras · Home1 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +7.13 |
| M26 | Athletico-PR · Away8 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +6.82 |
| M27 | Santos · Away20 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +8.33 |
| M28 | Fluminense · Home22 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +9.45 |
| M29 | Atletico-MG · Home25 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.79 | +7.66 |
| M30 | Goias · Away2 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +9.12 |
| M31 | Corinthians · Home5 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +10.10 |
| M32 | Sao Paulo · Away8 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +8.61 |
| M33 | Botafogo RJ · Home12 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.91 | +7.69 |
| M34 | Flamengo RJ · Away24 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +6.60 |
| M35 | Internacional · Away26 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | +5.33 |
| M36 | Fortaleza · Home30 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | +3.48 |
| M37 | Coritiba · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.48 | +3.96 |
| M38 | Vasco · Away7 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +2.84 |
| Total | 62 | +2.84 | |||