Points
30Points expected by the market
36.08Gap
−6.08Yield
−0.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +114.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 12 | −5.76 | −27.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 15 | −1.71 | +10.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.39 | +114.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 12 | −5.76 | −27.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.68 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 14 | +0.96 | +33.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Flamengo RJ · Away16 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.55 | −0.55 |
| M2 | Fortaleza · Home23 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −1.92 |
| M3 | Sao Paulo · Home29 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −2.17 |
| M4 | Bahia · Away7 May 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −3.00 |
| M5 | Vasco · Home11 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −3.17 |
| M6 | Athletico-PR · Away14 May 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −3.90 |
| M7 | Atletico-MG · Home20 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −4.79 |
| M8 | Cuiaba · Away27 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −4.69 |
| M9 | Palmeiras · Away4 Jun 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.42 | −5.11 |
| M10 | Santos · Home10 Jun 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −5.55 |
| M11 | Internacional · Home23 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −6.93 |
| M12 | Gremio · Away25 Jun 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.68 | −7.61 |
| M13 | Goias · Away4 Jul 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −5.68 |
| M14 | America MG · Home8 Jul 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −4.29 |
| M15 | Cruzeiro · Away16 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | −4.03 |
| M16 | Fluminense · Home24 Jul 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −2.19 |
| M17 | Botafogo RJ · Away30 Jul 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.78 | −2.97 |
| M18 | Bragantino · Home6 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −4.12 |
| M19 | Corinthians · Away13 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −4.92 |
| M20 | Flamengo RJ · Home20 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −5.95 |
| M21 | Fortaleza · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −6.59 |
| M22 | Bahia · Home15 Sep 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.42 | −8.01 |
| M23 | Vasco · Away21 Sep 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.71 | −8.72 |
| M24 | Sao Paulo · Away27 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.61 | −9.33 |
| M25 | Athletico-PR · Home1 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −7.44 |
| M26 | Atletico-MG · Away8 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.49 | −4.95 |
| M27 | Cuiaba · Home19 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −6.41 |
| M28 | Palmeiras · Home22 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −7.29 |
| M29 | Santos · Away27 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −8.11 |
| M30 | Internacional · Away29 Oct 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.44 | −5.67 |
| M31 | Gremio · Home1 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −6.85 |
| M32 | Goias · Home5 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −8.23 |
| M33 | America MG · Away8 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −6.09 |
| M34 | Cruzeiro · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −4.21 |
| M35 | Fluminense · Away26 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −4.70 |
| M36 | Botafogo RJ · Home30 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −4.56 |
| M37 | Bragantino · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.35 | −4.91 |
| M38 | Corinthians · Home7 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −6.08 |
| Total | 30 | −6.08 | |||