Points
47Points expected by the market
51.49Gap
−4.49Yield
−13.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 11 | −10.95 | −69.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +4.45 | +22.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 14 | +2.02 | +3.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 11 | −9.36 | −66.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −1.76 | −34.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.60 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 14 | +6.20 | +88.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 13 | +2.09 | +11.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Corinthians · Away16 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.85 |
| M2 | Gremio · Home23 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.66 |
| M3 | Bragantino · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +2.71 |
| M4 | Santos · Home6 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +3.78 |
| M5 | Fluminense · Home11 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +2.41 |
| M6 | America MG · Away14 May 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +4.11 |
| M7 | Cuiaba · Home23 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.04 | +2.06 |
| M8 | Flamengo RJ · Away27 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | +2.25 |
| M9 | Atletico-MG · Home3 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +1.09 |
| M10 | Bahia · Away10 Jun 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.71 |
| M11 | Fortaleza · Home21 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −1.04 |
| M12 | Sao Paulo · Home25 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +0.39 |
| M13 | Internacional · Away2 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.35 |
| M14 | Vasco · Away8 Jul 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.93 |
| M15 | Coritiba · Home16 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | +0.92 |
| M16 | Goias · Home23 Jul 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.09 | −1.17 |
| M17 | Athletico-PR · Away29 Jul 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.11 | −1.06 |
| M18 | Botafogo RJ · Home6 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −1.59 |
| M19 | Palmeiras · Away14 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −2.31 |
| M20 | Corinthians · Home20 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | −3.18 |
| M21 | Gremio · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.20 |
| M22 | Bragantino · Home3 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −4.68 |
| M23 | Santos · Away14 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −2.85 |
| M24 | Fluminense · Away21 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −3.76 |
| M25 | America MG · Home1 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | −4.69 |
| M26 | Cuiaba · Away15 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −4.85 |
| M27 | Flamengo RJ · Home19 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −6.00 |
| M28 | Atletico-MG · Away22 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | −3.87 |
| M29 | Bahia · Home26 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −2.62 |
| M30 | Sao Paulo · Away2 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −3.54 |
| M31 | Internacional · Home5 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −5.17 |
| M32 | Coritiba · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −6.77 |
| M33 | Fortaleza · Away18 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | −4.72 |
| M34 | Vasco · Home22 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −5.37 |
| M35 | Goias · Away28 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −3.74 |
| M36 | Athletico-PR · Home30 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −4.45 |
| M37 | Botafogo RJ · Away3 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −4.42 |
| M38 | Palmeiras · Home7 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −4.49 |
| Total | 47 | −4.49 | |||