Points
51Points expected by the market
43.68Gap
+7.32Yield
+39.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −3.59 | −67.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +2.20 | +24.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 24 | +8.71 | +84.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −3.59 | −67.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 17 | +0.42 | +8.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.79 | +219.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 24 | +9.78 | +94.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Palmeiras · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.52 | −0.52 |
| M2 | Bragantino · Home22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.94 |
| M3 | Gremio · Home30 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −2.30 |
| M4 | America MG · Away7 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | −0.15 |
| M5 | Atletico-MG · Home11 May 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.22 |
| M6 | Fluminense · Away13 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.58 | −1.80 |
| M7 | Cruzeiro · Away23 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.30 | +0.49 |
| M8 | Coritiba · Home27 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | −0.32 |
| M9 | Goias · Away4 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.56 |
| M10 | Corinthians · Away10 Jun 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | +1.76 |
| M11 | Botafogo RJ · Home23 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.38 |
| M12 | Vasco · Away27 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −0.73 |
| M13 | Santos · Home2 Jul 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +0.52 |
| M14 | Bahia · Home8 Jul 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | −0.36 |
| M15 | Fortaleza · Away16 Jul 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +1.80 |
| M16 | Sao Paulo · Home22 Jul 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.46 |
| M17 | Internacional · Away29 Jul 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +5.61 |
| M18 | Flamengo RJ · Home7 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +7.32 |
| M19 | Athletico-PR · Away16 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | +6.43 |
| M20 | Palmeiras · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +5.30 |
| M21 | Bragantino · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +4.52 |
| M22 | Gremio · Away3 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | +3.75 |
| M23 | America MG · Home16 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.79 | +2.96 |
| M24 | Atletico-MG · Away24 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | +2.29 |
| M25 | Fluminense · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +3.72 |
| M26 | Cruzeiro · Home15 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | +3.20 |
| M27 | Coritiba · Away19 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +4.98 |
| M28 | Goias · Home21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +4.26 |
| M29 | Corinthians · Home26 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | +2.65 |
| M30 | Botafogo RJ · Away29 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +4.89 |
| M31 | Vasco · Home2 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +3.48 |
| M32 | Santos · Away7 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.14 | +3.62 |
| M33 | Bahia · Away9 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.10 | +5.72 |
| M34 | Fortaleza · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +7.36 |
| M35 | Sao Paulo · Away26 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | +7.62 |
| M36 | Internacional · Home29 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +6.36 |
| M37 | Flamengo RJ · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.50 | +5.86 |
| M38 | Athletico-PR · Home7 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +7.32 |
| Total | 51 | +7.32 | |||