Points
66Points expected by the market
66.55Gap
−0.55Yield
−0.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 17 | −1.09 | −15.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 24 | −2.17 | −11.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 24 | +2.67 | +24.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 14 | −1.85 | −23.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −3.02 | −23.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.52 | +140.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.77 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.85 | +28.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +1.15 | +16.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.04 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Coritiba · Home16 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.75 |
| M2 | Internacional · Away23 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.62 |
| M3 | Botafogo RJ · Home30 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.01 | −2.63 |
| M4 | Athletico-PR · Away7 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −4.05 |
| M5 | Goias · Home11 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.56 | −3.49 |
| M6 | Bahia · Away13 May 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.49 | −2.01 |
| M7 | Corinthians · Home21 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.78 | −1.23 |
| M8 | Cruzeiro · Home27 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | −2.16 |
| M9 | Vasco · Away6 Jun 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −0.94 |
| M10 | Gremio · Home11 Jun 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +0.05 |
| M11 | Bragantino · Away23 Jun 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.44 |
| M12 | Santos · Away25 Jun 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.02 |
| M13 | Fortaleza · Home1 Jul 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +1.01 |
| M14 | Palmeiras · Away9 Jul 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | +1.04 |
| M15 | Fluminense · Away16 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.64 |
| M16 | America MG · Home22 Jul 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.32 | −0.68 |
| M17 | Atletico-MG · Away30 Jul 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.21 |
| M18 | Cuiaba · Away7 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.19 |
| M19 | Sao Paulo · Home13 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −1.05 |
| M20 | Coritiba · Away20 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.26 |
| M21 | Internacional · Home26 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.17 | −0.91 |
| M22 | Botafogo RJ · Away3 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +0.85 |
| M23 | Athletico-PR · Home14 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.87 | −1.02 |
| M24 | Goias · Away20 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −1.44 |
| M25 | Bahia · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.91 | −0.53 |
| M26 | Corinthians · Away8 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −1.09 |
| M27 | Cruzeiro · Away19 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.36 |
| M28 | Vasco · Home22 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +1.39 |
| M29 | Gremio · Away26 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.68 | −0.29 |
| M30 | Santos · Home1 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.16 | −2.45 |
| M31 | Fortaleza · Away5 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −0.71 |
| M32 | Palmeiras · Home9 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.81 |
| M33 | Fluminense · Home11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +0.09 |
| M34 | Bragantino · Home24 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.46 |
| M35 | America MG · Away26 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +2.23 |
| M36 | Atletico-MG · Home29 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.91 | +0.32 |
| M37 | Cuiaba · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +1.02 |
| M38 | Sao Paulo · Away7 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.55 |
| Total | 66 | −0.55 | |||