Points
56Points expected by the market
56.63Gap
−0.63Yield
−19.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.30 | +39.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 33 | +5.42 | +19.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 11 | −5.79 | −33.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −2.56 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.30 | +39.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 32 | +6.02 | +27.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.62 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.59 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 9 | −5.17 | −21.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −2.56 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | America MG · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +1.72 |
| M2 | Athletico-PR · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +2.60 |
| M3 | Fortaleza · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.13 | +1.47 |
| M4 | Vasco · Home7 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | +0.59 |
| M5 | Cruzeiro · Away11 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +2.27 |
| M6 | Cuiaba · Home13 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +3.05 |
| M7 | Botafogo RJ · Away20 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +1.68 |
| M8 | Corinthians · Away28 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +0.33 |
| M9 | Bragantino · Home4 Jun 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.45 |
| M10 | Goias · Away11 Jun 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | +0.86 |
| M11 | Atletico-MG · Home22 Jun 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.55 |
| M12 | Bahia · Home24 Jun 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +1.48 |
| M13 | Sao Paulo · Away1 Jul 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.36 |
| M14 | Internacional · Home9 Jul 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.58 |
| M15 | Flamengo RJ · Home16 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +1.27 |
| M16 | Coritiba · Away24 Jul 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −0.26 |
| M17 | Santos · Home29 Jul 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +0.65 |
| M18 | Palmeiras · Home6 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +2.05 |
| M19 | Gremio · Away13 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +0.89 |
| M20 | America MG · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +1.73 |
| M21 | Athletico-PR · Away27 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | +1.86 |
| M22 | Fortaleza · Home3 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +3.09 |
| M23 | Vasco · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.55 | +1.54 |
| M24 | Cruzeiro · Home21 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +2.72 |
| M25 | Cuiaba · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.12 | +1.60 |
| M26 | Botafogo RJ · Home8 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −0.13 |
| M27 | Corinthians · Home20 Oct 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.01 | −1.14 |
| M28 | Bragantino · Away22 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −2.01 |
| M29 | Goias · Home25 Oct 2023 | W 5-3 | 3 | +0.98 | −1.03 |
| M30 | Atletico-MG · Away29 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −1.85 |
| M31 | Bahia · Away31 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | −2.49 |
| M32 | Internacional · Away8 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | −2.42 |
| M33 | Flamengo RJ · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −2.42 |
| M34 | Sao Paulo · Home23 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −1.02 |
| M35 | Coritiba · Home26 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.68 | −0.35 |
| M36 | Santos · Away29 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +1.42 |
| M37 | Palmeiras · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.43 | +0.99 |
| M38 | Gremio · Home7 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −0.63 |
| Total | 56 | −0.63 | |||