Points
54Points expected by the market
54.31Gap
−0.31Yield
−1.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.77 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 25 | +0.26 | −11.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 15 | −3.27 | −15.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +1.94 | +27.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.77 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 25 | +0.26 | −11.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.94 | −45.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −1.33 | +1.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +1.94 | +27.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Internacional · Home15 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | −0.76 |
| M2 | Coritiba · Away23 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +0.92 |
| M3 | Fluminense · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.42 | +2.33 |
| M4 | Corinthians · Away9 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +2.06 |
| M5 | Sao Paulo · Home12 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | +1.33 |
| M6 | Gremio · Away14 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | +1.36 |
| M7 | America MG · Away20 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.09 |
| M8 | Vasco · Home27 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +0.96 |
| M9 | Bahia · Home3 Jun 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | −0.05 |
| M10 | Botafogo RJ · Away11 Jun 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −1.18 |
| M11 | Cruzeiro · Away21 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +0.84 |
| M12 | Atletico-MG · Home24 Jun 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +2.50 |
| M13 | Flamengo RJ · Away1 Jul 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | +1.75 |
| M14 | Athletico-PR · Home9 Jul 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +2.65 |
| M15 | Cuiaba · Home16 Jul 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | +0.77 |
| M16 | Palmeiras · Away22 Jul 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.66 | +0.11 |
| M17 | Bragantino · Home29 Jul 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −1.46 |
| M18 | Goias · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −2.78 |
| M19 | Santos · Home13 Aug 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.89 | −1.88 |
| M20 | Internacional · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −0.06 |
| M21 | Coritiba · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +0.81 |
| M22 | Fluminense · Away3 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −0.13 |
| M23 | Corinthians · Home14 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +0.82 |
| M24 | Sao Paulo · Away21 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +2.61 |
| M25 | Gremio · Home30 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +2.21 |
| M26 | America MG · Home8 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.91 | +3.12 |
| M27 | Vasco · Away19 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +1.96 |
| M28 | Bahia · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +0.89 |
| M29 | Atletico-MG · Away2 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +0.07 |
| M30 | Flamengo RJ · Home5 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.37 |
| M31 | Athletico-PR · Away8 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −1.38 |
| M32 | Cuiaba · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.68 |
| M33 | Cruzeiro · Home18 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −4.42 |
| M34 | Botafogo RJ · Home23 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.61 | −5.03 |
| M35 | Palmeiras · Home26 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −5.22 |
| M36 | Bragantino · Away30 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | −3.11 |
| M37 | Goias · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.77 | −2.35 |
| M38 | Santos · Away7 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | −0.31 |
| Total | 54 | −0.31 | |||