Points
38Points expected by the market
39.92Gap
−1.92Yield
−16.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −2.13 | −43.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 21 | +1.27 | −0.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 14 | −1.06 | −25.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −2.13 | −43.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −0.39 | −12.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.78 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.67 | +171.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 13 | −0.28 | −16.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Athletico-PR · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −0.72 |
| M2 | Corinthians · Home23 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.02 |
| M3 | Internacional · Away30 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | +0.27 |
| M4 | Palmeiras · Home7 May 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.53 |
| M5 | Flamengo RJ · Away11 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.40 | −0.93 |
| M6 | Botafogo RJ · Home14 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +0.87 |
| M7 | Bahia · Away20 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +1.06 |
| M8 | Sao Paulo · Away28 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.68 | +0.37 |
| M9 | Cuiaba · Home4 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −1.19 |
| M10 | Fluminense · Home11 Jun 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.31 |
| M11 | Vasco · Away23 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +0.75 |
| M12 | Bragantino · Away25 Jun 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.58 | +0.17 |
| M13 | Coritiba · Home4 Jul 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −1.46 |
| M14 | Santos · Away9 Jul 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.94 | −2.40 |
| M15 | Atletico-MG · Home18 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | −2.38 |
| M16 | Cruzeiro · Away23 Jul 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.34 | −0.04 |
| M17 | Gremio · Home30 Jul 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.39 |
| M18 | Fortaleza · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.23 |
| M19 | America MG · Away13 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +3.23 |
| M20 | Athletico-PR · Home22 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +2.92 |
| M21 | Corinthians · Away27 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | +2.95 |
| M22 | Internacional · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +2.60 |
| M23 | Palmeiras · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.42 | +2.18 |
| M24 | Flamengo RJ · Home20 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +1.90 |
| M25 | Botafogo RJ · Away3 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | +2.17 |
| M26 | Bahia · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 4-6 | 0 | −1.48 | +0.68 |
| M27 | Sao Paulo · Home19 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +2.55 |
| M28 | Cuiaba · Away21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | +2.58 |
| M29 | Fluminense · Away25 Oct 2023 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.74 | +1.84 |
| M30 | Vasco · Home29 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +1.36 |
| M31 | Bragantino · Home2 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.18 |
| M32 | Coritiba · Away5 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.85 |
| M33 | Santos · Home9 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | +0.24 |
| M34 | Atletico-MG · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −0.45 |
| M35 | Cruzeiro · Home28 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −1.78 |
| M36 | Gremio · Away30 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −2.47 |
| M37 | Fortaleza · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.56 | −3.02 |
| M38 | America MG · Home6 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −1.92 |
| Total | 38 | −1.92 | |||