Points
68Points expected by the market
54.00Gap
+14.00Yield
+37.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 32 | +4.28 | +18.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 27 | +7.24 | +42.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 9 | +2.48 | +65.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 32 | +4.28 | +18.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 9 | +4.73 | +155.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.97 | +284.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +2.51 | +14.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | +0.51 | +33.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Santos · Home16 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.12 |
| M2 | Cruzeiro · Away23 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.09 |
| M3 | Cuiaba · Away30 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.57 |
| M4 | Bragantino · Home7 May 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.82 |
| M5 | Palmeiras · Away11 May 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.56 | +0.26 |
| M6 | Fortaleza · Home14 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | −0.51 |
| M7 | Internacional · Home21 May 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.80 |
| M8 | Athletico-PR · Away27 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | +3.04 |
| M9 | Sao Paulo · Home4 Jun 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +4.39 |
| M10 | Flamengo RJ · Away11 Jun 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.75 | +3.64 |
| M11 | America MG · Home22 Jun 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +4.69 |
| M12 | Coritiba · Home25 Jun 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +5.59 |
| M13 | Bahia · Away1 Jul 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +7.19 |
| M14 | Botafogo RJ · Home9 Jul 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.84 | +5.36 |
| M15 | Atletico-MG · Home23 Jul 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +6.87 |
| M16 | Goias · Away30 Jul 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +6.52 |
| M17 | Vasco · Away6 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | +5.21 |
| M18 | Fluminense · Home13 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +6.66 |
| M19 | Santos · Away20 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | +5.36 |
| M20 | Cruzeiro · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +6.66 |
| M21 | Cuiaba · Home3 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +7.69 |
| M22 | Bragantino · Away15 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +6.84 |
| M23 | Corinthians · Away19 Sep 2023 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.25 | +6.60 |
| M24 | Palmeiras · Home22 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +8.37 |
| M25 | Fortaleza · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +8.06 |
| M26 | Internacional · Away8 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +6.91 |
| M27 | Athletico-PR · Home18 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +5.24 |
| M28 | Sao Paulo · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | +4.52 |
| M29 | Flamengo RJ · Home26 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.97 | +6.49 |
| M30 | America MG · Away28 Oct 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.80 | +8.29 |
| M31 | Coritiba · Away1 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +9.74 |
| M32 | Bahia · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +10.84 |
| M33 | Botafogo RJ · Away9 Nov 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.00 | +12.84 |
| M34 | Corinthians · Home12 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.96 | +10.88 |
| M35 | Atletico-MG · Away26 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | +10.03 |
| M36 | Goias · Home30 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +10.95 |
| M37 | Vasco · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +12.13 |
| M38 | Fluminense · Away7 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.87 | +14.00 |
| Total | 68 | +14.00 | |||