Points
55Points expected by the market
51.37Gap
+3.63Yield
+2.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.24 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | −0.43 | −9.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 25 | +7.28 | +44.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 12 | −0.98 | −20.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.24 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | −0.43 | −9.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +3.82 | +42.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.11 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +3.46 | +46.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 12 | +0.13 | −14.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fortaleza · Away15 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.03 |
| M2 | Flamengo RJ · Home23 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.69 |
| M3 | Goias · Home30 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +2.68 |
| M4 | Sao Paulo · Away7 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.62 |
| M5 | Athletico-PR · Home10 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −0.22 |
| M6 | Atletico-MG · Away14 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.92 |
| M7 | Gremio · Away21 May 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.95 |
| M8 | Bahia · Home28 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −0.61 |
| M9 | Santos · Away4 Jun 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.75 |
| M10 | Vasco · Home11 Jun 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.40 |
| M11 | Coritiba · Away23 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +2.10 |
| M12 | America MG · Away25 Jun 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +4.09 |
| M13 | Cruzeiro · Home2 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | +3.44 |
| M14 | Fluminense · Away9 Jul 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +2.50 |
| M15 | Palmeiras · Home16 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | +2.17 |
| M16 | Bragantino · Away23 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.16 | +2.33 |
| M17 | Cuiaba · Home29 Jul 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.86 | +0.47 |
| M18 | Corinthians · Home5 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | −0.09 |
| M19 | Botafogo RJ · Away13 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.25 |
| M20 | Fortaleza · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.76 |
| M21 | Flamengo RJ · Away26 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.39 | −2.37 |
| M22 | Goias · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −2.70 |
| M23 | Sao Paulo · Home14 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | −1.14 |
| M24 | Athletico-PR · Away21 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.91 |
| M25 | Atletico-MG · Home1 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.02 |
| M26 | Gremio · Home8 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.45 | −1.57 |
| M27 | Bahia · Away19 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.60 |
| M28 | Santos · Home22 Oct 2023 | W 7-1 | 3 | +0.92 | −1.68 |
| M29 | Vasco · Away26 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +0.22 |
| M30 | Coritiba · Home29 Oct 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −2.24 | −2.02 |
| M31 | America MG · Home1 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | −3.06 |
| M32 | Cruzeiro · Away5 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | −1.13 |
| M33 | Fluminense · Home8 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | −1.92 |
| M34 | Palmeiras · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −2.68 |
| M35 | Bragantino · Home26 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −1.12 |
| M36 | Cuiaba · Away29 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +0.48 |
| M37 | Corinthians · Away2 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +2.27 |
| M38 | Botafogo RJ · Home7 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +3.63 |
| Total | 55 | +3.63 | |||