Points
70Points expected by the market
69.12Gap
+0.88Yield
−13.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 27 | +1.64 | +8.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 28 | +1.71 | −0.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −1.62 | −40.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.85 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 27 | +1.64 | +8.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +1.48 | +4.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.23 | −7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −1.62 | −40.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.85 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cuiaba · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +0.71 |
| M2 | Vasco · Away23 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +0.19 |
| M3 | Corinthians · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +1.06 |
| M4 | Goias · Away7 May 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +2.11 |
| M5 | Gremio · Home11 May 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.76 | +2.87 |
| M6 | Bragantino · Home13 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | +1.83 |
| M7 | Santos · Away21 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | +0.92 |
| M8 | Atletico-MG · Away28 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.77 |
| M9 | Coritiba · Home4 Jun 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.59 | +1.36 |
| M10 | Sao Paulo · Away11 Jun 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.87 |
| M11 | Bahia · Away22 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | +1.22 |
| M12 | Botafogo RJ · Home25 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.16 | −0.94 |
| M13 | Athletico-PR · Away2 Jul 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.11 |
| M14 | Flamengo RJ · Home9 Jul 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −1.89 |
| M15 | Internacional · Away16 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −2.25 |
| M16 | Fortaleza · Home22 Jul 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.90 | −1.36 |
| M17 | America MG · Away30 Jul 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.02 |
| M18 | Fluminense · Away6 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.10 |
| M19 | Cruzeiro · Home14 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −0.14 |
| M20 | Cuiaba · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.30 |
| M21 | Vasco · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +2.01 |
| M22 | Corinthians · Away3 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | +1.22 |
| M23 | Goias · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +1.81 |
| M24 | Gremio · Away22 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | +0.32 |
| M25 | Bragantino · Away1 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.53 |
| M26 | Santos · Home8 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.20 | −2.73 |
| M27 | Atletico-MG · Home19 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.89 | −4.62 |
| M28 | Coritiba · Away22 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −3.46 |
| M29 | Sao Paulo · Home26 Oct 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −2.17 |
| M30 | Bahia · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.70 | −1.46 |
| M31 | Botafogo RJ · Away2 Nov 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.09 |
| M32 | Athletico-PR · Home5 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +1.14 |
| M33 | Flamengo RJ · Away9 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −0.08 |
| M34 | Internacional · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +0.91 |
| M35 | Fortaleza · Away26 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.41 |
| M36 | America MG · Home30 Nov 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.47 | +0.88 |
| M37 | Fluminense · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.60 | +1.48 |
| M38 | Cruzeiro · Away7 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +0.88 |
| Total | 70 | +0.88 | |||