Points
43Points expected by the market
44.07Gap
−1.07Yield
+9.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.33 | −10.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 18 | −3.04 | −35.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 18 | +2.29 | +48.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.33 | −10.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 17 | −2.81 | −30.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.18 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.23 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 17 | +2.12 | +56.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Gremio · Away16 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.85 |
| M2 | Atletico-MG · Home23 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −1.03 |
| M3 | America MG · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.46 |
| M4 | Cruzeiro · Away6 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −0.35 |
| M5 | Bahia · Home10 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.09 |
| M6 | Vasco · Away14 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | +3.17 |
| M7 | Palmeiras · Home21 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | +3.34 |
| M8 | Bragantino · Away28 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.84 | +2.51 |
| M9 | Internacional · Home4 Jun 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +1.98 |
| M10 | Coritiba · Away10 Jun 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.75 |
| M11 | Corinthians · Home22 Jun 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +0.17 |
| M12 | Flamengo RJ · Home25 Jun 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −0.99 |
| M13 | Cuiaba · Away2 Jul 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −1.93 |
| M14 | Goias · Home9 Jul 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.70 |
| M15 | Sao Paulo · Away16 Jul 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.71 | −1.41 |
| M16 | Botafogo RJ · Home23 Jul 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −1.71 |
| M17 | Fluminense · Away29 Jul 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.38 |
| M18 | Athletico-PR · Home5 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.94 |
| M19 | Fortaleza · Away13 Aug 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.65 | −3.59 |
| M20 | Gremio · Home20 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −1.99 |
| M21 | Atletico-MG · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.68 | −2.67 |
| M22 | America MG · Away3 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −3.76 |
| M23 | Cruzeiro · Home14 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −5.27 |
| M24 | Bahia · Away19 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.22 | −3.06 |
| M25 | Vasco · Home1 Oct 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −1.49 |
| M26 | Palmeiras · Away8 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.42 | +0.93 |
| M27 | Bragantino · Home20 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −0.29 |
| M28 | Internacional · Away22 Oct 2023 | L 1-7 | 0 | −0.68 | −0.96 |
| M29 | Coritiba · Home27 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +0.09 |
| M30 | Corinthians · Away29 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.01 |
| M31 | Flamengo RJ · Away1 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.38 | +2.39 |
| M32 | Cuiaba · Home7 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | +1.52 |
| M33 | Goias · Away9 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +3.43 |
| M34 | Sao Paulo · Home12 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +3.04 |
| M35 | Botafogo RJ · Away26 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +3.14 |
| M36 | Fluminense · Home29 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.47 | +1.67 |
| M37 | Athletico-PR · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.99 | +0.68 |
| M38 | Fortaleza · Home7 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −1.07 |
| Total | 43 | −1.07 | |||