Points
53Points expected by the market
55.34Gap
−2.34Yield
−23.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 33 | +6.73 | +27.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 13 | −6.28 | −34.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −3.61 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 33 | +6.73 | +27.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.93 | +60.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 7 | −7.22 | −68.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −3.61 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Botafogo RJ · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.21 |
| M2 | America MG · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +0.01 |
| M3 | Coritiba · Away29 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.44 |
| M4 | Internacional · Home7 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +0.90 |
| M5 | Fortaleza · Away12 May 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.91 |
| M6 | Corinthians · Away14 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.68 |
| M7 | Vasco · Home20 May 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.86 |
| M8 | Goias · Home28 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +2.79 |
| M9 | Gremio · Away4 Jun 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.73 |
| M10 | Palmeiras · Home11 Jun 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +0.51 |
| M11 | Athletico-PR · Home21 Jun 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.65 |
| M12 | Cruzeiro · Away25 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.51 |
| M13 | Fluminense · Home1 Jul 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.90 |
| M14 | Bragantino · Away9 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | +2.11 |
| M15 | Santos · Home16 Jul 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +3.09 |
| M16 | Cuiaba · Away22 Jul 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +1.74 |
| M17 | Bahia · Home30 Jul 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.99 | +0.76 |
| M18 | Atletico-MG · Home6 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −1.01 |
| M19 | Flamengo RJ · Away13 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.89 |
| M20 | Botafogo RJ · Home19 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | −1.64 |
| M21 | America MG · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −2.97 |
| M22 | Internacional · Away14 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −4.21 |
| M23 | Fortaleza · Home21 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −5.71 |
| M24 | Coritiba · Home27 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.82 | −4.89 |
| M25 | Corinthians · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | −4.01 |
| M26 | Vasco · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −4.29 |
| M27 | Goias · Away19 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −5.86 |
| M28 | Gremio · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −4.89 |
| M29 | Palmeiras · Away26 Oct 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.00 | −5.89 |
| M30 | Athletico-PR · Away29 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −5.93 |
| M31 | Cruzeiro · Home2 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −4.72 |
| M32 | Bragantino · Home8 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −2.93 |
| M33 | Santos · Away12 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −3.23 |
| M34 | Fluminense · Away23 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −4.34 |
| M35 | Cuiaba · Home26 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.99 | −5.33 |
| M36 | Bahia · Away29 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −3.45 |
| M37 | Atletico-MG · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −4.21 |
| M38 | Flamengo RJ · Home7 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −2.34 |
| Total | 53 | −2.34 | |||