Points
45Points expected by the market
48.25Gap
−3.25Yield
−19.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 6 | −6.39 | −46.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 28 | +7.55 | +40.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 8 | −5.26 | −69.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 6 | −6.39 | −46.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +6.23 | +54.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +1.33 | +10.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 8 | −4.30 | −67.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atletico-MG · Away16 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +2.11 |
| M2 | Palmeiras · Home23 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | +1.93 |
| M3 | Bahia · Home2 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.88 | +0.05 |
| M4 | Fluminense · Away7 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.19 |
| M5 | Coritiba · Away11 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.33 |
| M6 | Santos · Home14 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | −2.11 |
| M7 | Sao Paulo · Away20 May 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.91 | −3.02 |
| M8 | Fortaleza · Away27 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −3.82 |
| M9 | Flamengo RJ · Home6 Jun 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.96 | −4.78 |
| M10 | Internacional · Away11 Jun 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −5.66 |
| M11 | Goias · Home23 Jun 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −7.43 |
| M12 | Cuiaba · Home27 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −6.03 |
| M13 | Botafogo RJ · Away2 Jul 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −6.97 |
| M14 | Cruzeiro · Home8 Jul 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −8.25 |
| M15 | Athletico-PR · Home23 Jul 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −9.59 |
| M16 | Corinthians · Away29 Jul 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −10.58 |
| M17 | Gremio · Home6 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −8.97 |
| M18 | Bragantino · Away15 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −8.70 |
| M19 | Atletico-MG · Home20 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −7.08 |
| M20 | Palmeiras · Away27 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.51 | −7.59 |
| M21 | Bahia · Away3 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −7.64 |
| M22 | Fluminense · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.85 | −5.78 |
| M23 | Coritiba · Home21 Sep 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.95 | −4.83 |
| M24 | America MG · Away26 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −3.23 |
| M25 | Santos · Away1 Oct 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.27 | −4.49 |
| M26 | Sao Paulo · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −4.90 |
| M27 | Fortaleza · Home19 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −3.45 |
| M28 | Flamengo RJ · Away22 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | −4.23 |
| M29 | Internacional · Home26 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −5.83 |
| M30 | Goias · Away29 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −6.05 |
| M31 | Cuiaba · Away2 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −4.32 |
| M32 | Botafogo RJ · Home6 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −2.83 |
| M33 | America MG · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.85 | −1.98 |
| M34 | Cruzeiro · Away22 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −2.03 |
| M35 | Athletico-PR · Away25 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | −2.01 |
| M36 | Corinthians · Home29 Nov 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.73 | −3.74 |
| M37 | Gremio · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −4.66 |
| M38 | Bragantino · Home7 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −3.25 |
| Total | 45 | −3.25 | |||