Points
42Points expected by the market
51.63Gap
−9.63Yield
−26.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.86 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −3.63 | −21.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −3.05 | −26.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 9 | −3.81 | −35.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.86 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −3.63 | −21.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −3.72 | −61.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +0.67 | +8.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 9 | −2.75 | −30.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cuiaba · Home14 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +0.94 |
| M2 | Gremio · Away17 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −0.38 |
| M3 | Internacional · Home21 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +0.91 |
| M4 | Juventude · Away28 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.52 |
| M5 | Vasco · Home5 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +1.56 |
| M6 | Palmeiras · Away12 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +3.74 |
| M7 | Fortaleza · Away2 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | +2.77 |
| M8 | Criciuma · Home14 Jun 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +3.63 |
| M9 | Flamengo RJ · Home16 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +3.23 |
| M10 | Botafogo RJ · Away19 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +3.24 |
| M11 | Corinthians · Home23 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | +2.27 |
| M12 | Cruzeiro · Away26 Jun 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +1.20 |
| M13 | Vitoria · Away30 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +3.03 |
| M14 | Sao Paulo · Home4 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | +1.51 |
| M15 | Atletico GO · Away7 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | +3.53 |
| M16 | Bahia · Home10 Jul 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | +2.00 |
| M17 | Bragantino · Away21 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | +1.00 |
| M18 | Cuiaba · Away28 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +2.81 |
| M19 | Gremio · Home4 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.97 | +0.85 |
| M20 | Internacional · Away11 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.90 |
| M21 | Juventude · Home18 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.93 | −1.03 |
| M22 | Vasco · Away27 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.14 |
| M23 | Palmeiras · Home1 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −3.21 |
| M24 | Fortaleza · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | −3.96 |
| M25 | Criciuma · Away23 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −4.12 |
| M26 | Flamengo RJ · Away30 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −4.92 |
| M27 | Botafogo RJ · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −6.08 |
| M28 | Corinthians · Away18 Oct 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.76 | −6.85 |
| M29 | Fluminense · Away22 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −7.69 |
| M30 | Cruzeiro · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −6.51 |
| M31 | Vitoria · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −8.36 |
| M32 | Sao Paulo · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −9.06 |
| M33 | Atletico-MG · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −7.59 |
| M34 | Atletico GO · Home20 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −6.57 |
| M35 | Bahia · Away24 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −6.42 |
| M36 | Fluminense · Home1 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −6.99 |
| M37 | Bragantino · Home5 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −8.62 |
| M38 | Atletico-MG · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −9.63 |
| Total | 42 | −9.63 | |||