Points
30Points expected by the market
42.70Gap
−12.70Yield
−47.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 5 | −5.45 | −69.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −1.19 | −13.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 10 | −6.05 | −60.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 5 | −5.45 | −69.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | −0.03 | −5.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.37 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.16 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 10 | −4.68 | −56.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Flamengo RJ · Home14 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.84 |
| M2 | Botafogo RJ · Away19 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.71 |
| M3 | Sao Paulo · Home21 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −3.01 |
| M4 | Internacional · Away29 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.33 | −2.68 |
| M5 | Cruzeiro · Home12 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −3.93 |
| M6 | Vitoria · Away1 Jun 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −2.04 |
| M7 | Juventude · Away5 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.20 |
| M8 | Corinthians · Home11 Jun 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | −3.61 |
| M9 | Fluminense · Away16 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | −1.54 |
| M10 | Criciuma · Home19 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.95 | −3.49 |
| M11 | Cuiaba · Away22 Jun 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | −3.51 |
| M12 | Gremio · Home27 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −4.10 |
| M13 | Atletico-MG · Away30 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −4.14 |
| M14 | Bragantino · Away4 Jul 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −5.04 |
| M15 | Athletico-PR · Home7 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | −6.77 |
| M16 | Palmeiras · Away11 Jul 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.53 | −7.30 |
| M17 | Vasco · Home17 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −8.87 |
| M18 | Fortaleza · Away21 Jul 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −9.70 |
| M19 | Bahia · Home25 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −9.93 |
| M20 | Flamengo RJ · Away28 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.45 | −10.38 |
| M21 | Botafogo RJ · Home4 Aug 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.27 | −11.65 |
| M22 | Sao Paulo · Away11 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −12.57 |
| M23 | Internacional · Home18 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −10.82 |
| M24 | Juventude · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | −9.65 |
| M25 | Cruzeiro · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −10.39 |
| M26 | Vitoria · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −12.12 |
| M27 | Corinthians · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −12.83 |
| M28 | Fluminense · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −11.28 |
| M29 | Criciuma · Away3 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −12.21 |
| M30 | Cuiaba · Home18 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −12.82 |
| M31 | Gremio · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −13.54 |
| M32 | Atletico-MG · Home7 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −12.09 |
| M33 | Bragantino · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −12.46 |
| M34 | Athletico-PR · Away20 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −13.23 |
| M35 | Palmeiras · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | −13.76 |
| M36 | Vasco · Away1 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | −13.71 |
| M37 | Fortaleza · Home5 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −12.10 |
| M38 | Bahia · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −12.70 |
| Total | 30 | −12.70 | |||