Points
47Points expected by the market
54.49Gap
−7.49Yield
−28.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.20 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 25 | −1.71 | −24.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 11 | −5.92 | −37.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 10 | +1.34 | −15.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.20 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 23 | +1.36 | −5.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −3.72 | −50.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −3.07 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.20 | −29.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 9 | +1.34 | −5.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Corinthians · Away14 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.26 |
| M2 | Criciuma · Home18 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.20 | −1.46 |
| M3 | Cruzeiro · Home21 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −0.25 |
| M4 | Cuiaba · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.22 |
| M5 | Fluminense · Away4 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | +0.62 |
| M6 | Bahia · Home2 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | −0.23 |
| M7 | Bragantino · Away12 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.60 |
| M8 | Palmeiras · Home18 Jun 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.38 | +0.22 |
| M9 | Vitoria · Away20 Jun 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.38 | −1.15 |
| M10 | Fortaleza · Home23 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | −2.05 |
| M11 | Internacional · Away27 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.95 | −0.10 |
| M12 | Atletico GO · Home30 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.79 |
| M13 | Flamengo RJ · Home4 Jul 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.12 |
| M14 | Botafogo RJ · Away8 Jul 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −3.13 |
| M15 | Sao Paulo · Home12 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.58 |
| M16 | Juventude · Away16 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −2.33 |
| M17 | Vasco · Home21 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −1.25 |
| M18 | Corinthians · Home28 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | −0.19 |
| M19 | Criciuma · Away4 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −1.92 |
| M20 | Cruzeiro · Away11 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −2.06 |
| M21 | Cuiaba · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −2.89 |
| M22 | Fluminense · Home25 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −4.67 |
| M23 | Gremio · Away1 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.94 | −2.73 |
| M24 | Bahia · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −3.71 |
| M25 | Bragantino · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −2.30 |
| M26 | Palmeiras · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −3.12 |
| M27 | Vitoria · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.85 | −3.97 |
| M28 | Gremio · Home9 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | −2.80 |
| M29 | Fortaleza · Away17 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −2.59 |
| M30 | Internacional · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −3.71 |
| M31 | Atletico GO · Away7 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.86 |
| M32 | Flamengo RJ · Away13 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | −4.86 |
| M33 | Athletico-PR · Away16 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −6.02 |
| M34 | Botafogo RJ · Home21 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | −6.03 |
| M35 | Sao Paulo · Away24 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.04 | −5.99 |
| M36 | Juventude · Home27 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −7.42 |
| M37 | Vasco · Away4 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −8.82 |
| M38 | Athletico-PR · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −7.49 |
| Total | 47 | −7.49 | |||