Points
53Points expected by the market
56.50Gap
−3.50Yield
−20.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 36 | +6.45 | +23.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 12 | −5.49 | −29.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −5.26 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 32 | +5.82 | +27.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 1 | −4.59 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.63 | −5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −0.90 | +2.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −5.26 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Internacional · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −0.93 |
| M2 | Fluminense · Home17 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.45 |
| M3 | Vitoria · Away21 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.10 |
| M4 | Gremio · Home28 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +1.01 |
| M5 | Botafogo RJ · Away5 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +2.89 |
| M6 | Bragantino · Home12 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +4.05 |
| M7 | Atletico-MG · Away2 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | +4.17 |
| M8 | Fortaleza · Home14 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +5.37 |
| M9 | Criciuma · Away16 Jun 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | +4.78 |
| M10 | Flamengo RJ · Away21 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | +4.02 |
| M11 | Cruzeiro · Home23 Jun 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +5.35 |
| M12 | Vasco · Home27 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +6.33 |
| M13 | Sao Paulo · Away30 Jun 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.00 | +5.34 |
| M14 | Juventude · Home4 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +6.24 |
| M15 | Palmeiras · Away7 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +5.41 |
| M16 | Athletico-PR · Away10 Jul 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +7.22 |
| M17 | Cuiaba · Home13 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | +5.24 |
| M18 | Corinthians · Home21 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.94 | +3.30 |
| M19 | Atletico GO · Away25 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +2.83 |
| M20 | Internacional · Home28 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +2.12 |
| M21 | Fluminense · Away4 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +1.06 |
| M22 | Vitoria · Home11 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +2.08 |
| M23 | Gremio · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +3.72 |
| M24 | Botafogo RJ · Home25 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | +3.16 |
| M25 | Bragantino · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +1.96 |
| M26 | Atletico-MG · Home15 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +3.22 |
| M27 | Fortaleza · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.31 | +1.90 |
| M28 | Criciuma · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +2.91 |
| M29 | Flamengo RJ · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +1.57 |
| M30 | Cruzeiro · Away19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | +1.60 |
| M31 | Vasco · Away29 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.41 | +0.19 |
| M32 | Sao Paulo · Home6 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.36 |
| M33 | Juventude · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.65 |
| M34 | Palmeiras · Home20 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −3.80 |
| M35 | Athletico-PR · Home24 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | −4.70 |
| M36 | Cuiaba · Away30 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | −3.48 |
| M37 | Corinthians · Away3 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −4.30 |
| M38 | Atletico GO · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −3.50 |
| Total | 53 | −3.50 | |||