Points
79Points expected by the market
61.76Gap
+17.24Yield
+43.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 9 | −2.77 | −47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 33 | +4.58 | +16.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 26 | +10.49 | +84.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 11 | +4.94 | +116.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 9 | −2.77 | −47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 26 | +4.19 | +19.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.19 | +158.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.39 | +7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 20 | +7.29 | +68.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 11 | +4.94 | +116.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cruzeiro · Away14 Apr 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.11 |
| M2 | Atletico GO · Home19 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +0.02 |
| M3 | Juventude · Home21 Apr 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +1.00 |
| M4 | Flamengo RJ · Away28 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.26 | +3.25 |
| M5 | Bahia · Home5 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | +1.64 |
| M6 | Fortaleza · Away12 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +1.65 |
| M7 | Corinthians · Away2 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +3.55 |
| M8 | Fluminense · Home12 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +4.82 |
| M9 | Gremio · Away16 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +6.23 |
| M10 | Athletico-PR · Home19 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | +5.51 |
| M11 | Criciuma · Away22 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | +4.04 |
| M12 | Bragantino · Home26 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +5.32 |
| M13 | Vasco · Away29 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +4.86 |
| M14 | Cuiaba · Away3 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +6.61 |
| M15 | Atletico-MG · Home8 Jul 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +7.90 |
| M16 | Vitoria · Away12 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +9.45 |
| M17 | Palmeiras · Home18 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +11.14 |
| M18 | Internacional · Home20 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +12.36 |
| M19 | Sao Paulo · Away24 Jul 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | +12.27 |
| M20 | Cruzeiro · Home28 Jul 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.64 | +10.63 |
| M21 | Atletico GO · Away4 Aug 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +12.20 |
| M22 | Juventude · Away11 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.69 | +10.52 |
| M23 | Flamengo RJ · Home18 Aug 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +12.02 |
| M24 | Bahia · Away25 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | +11.85 |
| M25 | Fortaleza · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +12.83 |
| M26 | Corinthians · Home15 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +13.80 |
| M27 | Fluminense · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +15.24 |
| M28 | Gremio · Home29 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | +14.30 |
| M29 | Athletico-PR · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +15.74 |
| M30 | Criciuma · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.33 | +14.41 |
| M31 | Bragantino · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +15.77 |
| M32 | Vasco · Home6 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +16.53 |
| M33 | Cuiaba · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.48 | +15.05 |
| M34 | Atletico-MG · Away21 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | +14.35 |
| M35 | Vitoria · Home23 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.28 | +13.07 |
| M36 | Palmeiras · Away27 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +15.04 |
| M37 | Internacional · Away5 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +16.67 |
| M38 | Sao Paulo · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.57 | +17.24 |
| Total | 79 | +17.24 | |||