Points
44Points expected by the market
50.60Gap
−6.60Yield
−45.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 17 | +3.93 | +26.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 17 | −5.99 | −59.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 7 | −5.29 | −72.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.75 | +38.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 17 | +3.93 | +26.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −2.93 | −49.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.06 | −70.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 6 | −4.29 | −67.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fluminense · Away14 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.14 |
| M2 | Vasco · Home17 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +1.40 |
| M3 | Corinthians · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.84 |
| M4 | Fortaleza · Away28 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +2.71 |
| M5 | Flamengo RJ · Home4 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +2.40 |
| M6 | Bahia · Away12 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.49 |
| M7 | Gremio · Away1 Jun 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.98 |
| M8 | Atletico-MG · Home12 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +1.45 |
| M9 | Juventude · Home15 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +2.42 |
| M10 | Palmeiras · Away21 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +1.59 |
| M11 | Vitoria · Home23 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +2.49 |
| M12 | Botafogo RJ · Away26 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +1.49 |
| M13 | Cuiaba · Away29 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +1.16 |
| M14 | Atletico GO · Home4 Jul 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +2.34 |
| M15 | Sao Paulo · Away7 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +1.36 |
| M16 | Cruzeiro · Away13 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.29 |
| M17 | Athletico-PR · Home21 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +1.57 |
| M18 | Fluminense · Home28 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | +0.06 |
| M19 | Vasco · Away3 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.03 |
| M20 | Corinthians · Away11 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.03 |
| M21 | Fortaleza · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.45 |
| M22 | Flamengo RJ · Away26 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −2.18 |
| M23 | Criciuma · Away28 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.39 |
| M24 | Bahia · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −1.91 |
| M25 | Gremio · Home15 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −2.36 |
| M26 | Atletico-MG · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −3.47 |
| M27 | Internacional · Home25 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | −3.66 |
| M28 | Juventude · Away29 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −3.96 |
| M29 | Palmeiras · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | −3.88 |
| M30 | Vitoria · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −5.00 |
| M31 | Botafogo RJ · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −6.08 |
| M32 | Cuiaba · Home2 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.96 | −7.03 |
| M33 | Atletico GO · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −7.38 |
| M34 | Sao Paulo · Home20 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −7.84 |
| M35 | Internacional · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.73 | −8.57 |
| M36 | Cruzeiro · Home1 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −9.27 |
| M37 | Athletico-PR · Away5 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −7.35 |
| M38 | Criciuma · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.75 | −6.60 |
| Total | 44 | −6.60 | |||