Points
56Points expected by the market
53.56Gap
+2.44Yield
−10.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 29 | +3.85 | +3.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 20 | +1.28 | −6.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −3.54 | −43.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +47.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 26 | +2.44 | −5.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 9 | +2.22 | +13.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −0.94 | −17.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −3.54 | −43.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atletico-MG · Home14 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.42 |
| M2 | Juventude · Away18 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −1.96 |
| M3 | Bragantino · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.11 |
| M4 | Fluminense · Home28 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.69 |
| M5 | Fortaleza · Home5 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −2.33 |
| M6 | Flamengo RJ · Away11 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −3.05 |
| M7 | Botafogo RJ · Home2 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | −4.66 |
| M8 | Atletico GO · Away11 Jun 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −4.95 |
| M9 | Sao Paulo · Home16 Jun 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −5.11 |
| M10 | Internacional · Away20 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −6.21 |
| M11 | Athletico-PR · Away23 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −6.00 |
| M12 | Cuiaba · Home27 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −6.71 |
| M13 | Palmeiras · Away2 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −7.45 |
| M14 | Vitoria · Home5 Jul 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.17 | −6.28 |
| M15 | Cruzeiro · Away7 Jul 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −7.17 |
| M16 | Vasco · Away10 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −8.32 |
| M17 | Criciuma · Home17 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | −7.18 |
| M18 | Bahia · Away21 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.19 | −4.99 |
| M19 | Gremio · Home26 Jul 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | −5.71 |
| M20 | Atletico-MG · Away28 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −6.51 |
| M21 | Juventude · Home4 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | −7.49 |
| M22 | Bragantino · Home11 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −8.11 |
| M23 | Fluminense · Away18 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −8.33 |
| M24 | Fortaleza · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −9.30 |
| M25 | Flamengo RJ · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | −7.75 |
| M26 | Botafogo RJ · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −8.47 |
| M27 | Atletico GO · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −7.52 |
| M28 | Sao Paulo · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −8.77 |
| M29 | Internacional · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.55 | −9.32 |
| M30 | Athletico-PR · Home18 Oct 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.00 | −8.31 |
| M31 | Cuiaba · Away28 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −6.83 |
| M32 | Palmeiras · Home4 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −5.03 |
| M33 | Vitoria · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −3.49 |
| M34 | Cruzeiro · Home20 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.85 | −2.64 |
| M35 | Vasco · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −1.67 |
| M36 | Criciuma · Away30 Nov 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.41 | −0.26 |
| M37 | Bahia · Home3 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +0.81 |
| M38 | Gremio · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.44 |
| Total | 56 | +2.44 | |||