Points
38Points expected by the market
40.48Gap
−2.48Yield
−13.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 6 | −4.08 | −69.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 17 | +1.47 | −6.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 15 | +0.13 | −1.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 6 | −4.08 | −69.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | −0.39 | −28.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.10 | +98.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.86 | +241.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 12 | −0.98 | −12.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Juventude · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.64 |
| M2 | Atletico-MG · Away18 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.42 | −0.22 |
| M3 | Vasco · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.23 | +2.01 |
| M4 | Palmeiras · Home2 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +1.10 |
| M5 | Cuiaba · Home9 Jun 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.63 | −0.53 |
| M6 | Athletico-PR · Away14 Jun 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −1.16 |
| M7 | Bahia · Home16 Jun 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.27 |
| M8 | Atletico GO · Away19 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.20 | +0.93 |
| M9 | Botafogo RJ · Home22 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +2.70 |
| M10 | Sao Paulo · Away28 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +2.00 |
| M11 | Internacional · Home30 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +1.67 |
| M12 | Cruzeiro · Home4 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.21 |
| M13 | Vitoria · Away7 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +2.12 |
| M14 | Fluminense · Home12 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +1.41 |
| M15 | Corinthians · Away17 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +0.53 |
| M16 | Flamengo RJ · Away20 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −0.03 |
| M17 | Fortaleza · Home24 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.40 |
| M18 | Juventude · Away27 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +1.47 |
| M19 | Atletico-MG · Home4 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +3.47 |
| M20 | Fortaleza · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +2.62 |
| M21 | Vasco · Home18 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +1.95 |
| M22 | Gremio · Home25 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +0.62 |
| M23 | Bragantino · Home28 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.12 |
| M24 | Cuiaba · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +1.13 |
| M25 | Palmeiras · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.44 | +0.69 |
| M26 | Athletico-PR · Home23 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | +0.12 |
| M27 | Gremio · Away25 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.17 | +2.29 |
| M28 | Bahia · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | +1.52 |
| M29 | Atletico GO · Home3 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +2.72 |
| M30 | Botafogo RJ · Away19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.51 | +3.23 |
| M31 | Sao Paulo · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +3.03 |
| M32 | Internacional · Away6 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.52 | +2.51 |
| M33 | Cruzeiro · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | +1.75 |
| M34 | Vitoria · Home20 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | +0.12 |
| M35 | Fluminense · Away26 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.37 |
| M36 | Corinthians · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.12 | −0.75 |
| M37 | Flamengo RJ · Home4 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.93 |
| M38 | Bragantino · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.56 | −2.48 |
| Total | 38 | −2.48 | |||