Points
52Points expected by the market
53.75Gap
−1.75Yield
−20.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 27 | +2.92 | +8.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 17 | +0.61 | −8.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 5 | −6.11 | −69.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 27 | +2.92 | +8.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.11 | −45.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.72 | +10.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 5 | −5.10 | −66.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Botafogo RJ · Home14 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.41 |
| M2 | Fortaleza · Away18 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +1.43 |
| M3 | Atletico-MG · Away21 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.93 | +0.50 |
| M4 | Vitoria · Home28 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +1.42 |
| M5 | Atletico GO · Away12 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.98 |
| M6 | Sao Paulo · Away2 Jun 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +2.03 |
| M7 | Cuiaba · Home13 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +2.98 |
| M8 | Vasco · Away16 Jun 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.61 |
| M9 | Fluminense · Home20 Jun 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +3.73 |
| M10 | Bahia · Away23 Jun 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.04 | +2.69 |
| M11 | Athletico-PR · Home26 Jun 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +4.06 |
| M12 | Flamengo RJ · Away30 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +3.28 |
| M13 | Criciuma · Away4 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +2.06 |
| M14 | Corinthians · Home7 Jul 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +3.22 |
| M15 | Gremio · Away10 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +4.93 |
| M16 | Bragantino · Home13 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +6.29 |
| M17 | Palmeiras · Away21 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +5.46 |
| M18 | Juventude · Home24 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +6.29 |
| M19 | Botafogo RJ · Away28 Jul 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +8.22 |
| M20 | Fortaleza · Home6 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.80 | +6.43 |
| M21 | Atletico-MG · Home11 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +5.88 |
| M22 | Vitoria · Away20 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | +5.55 |
| M23 | Internacional · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | +4.57 |
| M24 | Internacional · Home28 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | +4.01 |
| M25 | Atletico GO · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +5.01 |
| M26 | Sao Paulo · Home15 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.84 | +3.18 |
| M27 | Cuiaba · Away22 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | +2.85 |
| M28 | Vasco · Home29 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | +1.99 |
| M29 | Fluminense · Away4 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.79 |
| M30 | Bahia · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.03 |
| M31 | Athletico-PR · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.87 |
| M32 | Flamengo RJ · Home7 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −2.29 |
| M33 | Criciuma · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −1.28 |
| M34 | Corinthians · Away20 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −1.91 |
| M35 | Gremio · Home28 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −2.62 |
| M36 | Bragantino · Away1 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −2.64 |
| M37 | Palmeiras · Home5 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −3.64 |
| M38 | Juventude · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −1.75 |
| Total | 52 | −1.75 | |||