Points
30Points expected by the market
39.49Gap
−9.49Yield
−33.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −0.64 | −50.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 5 | −7.27 | −64.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 25 | 19 | −1.57 | −19.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −0.64 | −50.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 5 | −5.92 | −60.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −4.21 | −47.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.35 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 16 | +2.64 | −7.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Athletico-PR · Away14 Apr 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.68 | −0.68 |
| M2 | Gremio · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −1.47 |
| M3 | Atletico-MG · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −2.61 |
| M4 | Palmeiras · Home5 May 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −3.47 |
| M5 | Internacional · Home1 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −4.56 |
| M6 | Vitoria · Home6 Jun 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −5.18 |
| M7 | Criciuma · Away9 Jun 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.94 | −3.24 |
| M8 | Cruzeiro · Away13 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −3.93 |
| M9 | Fortaleza · Home16 Jun 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −2.15 |
| M10 | Sao Paulo · Away20 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.35 | +0.20 |
| M11 | Atletico GO · Home22 Jun 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.47 |
| M12 | Corinthians · Away27 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.47 |
| M13 | Bragantino · Home29 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.83 |
| M14 | Botafogo RJ · Home3 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −2.26 |
| M15 | Flamengo RJ · Away7 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.43 | −1.82 |
| M16 | Bahia · Away13 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.24 | +0.42 |
| M17 | Fluminense · Home22 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −1.03 |
| M18 | Athletico-PR · Home28 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.54 |
| M19 | Vitoria · Away3 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −3.89 |
| M20 | Gremio · Home10 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −5.33 |
| M21 | Atletico-MG · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −5.20 |
| M22 | Palmeiras · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.59 | −5.79 |
| M23 | Criciuma · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −4.50 |
| M24 | Juventude · Home6 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −5.14 |
| M25 | Internacional · Away17 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.58 | −5.72 |
| M26 | Cruzeiro · Home22 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −6.06 |
| M27 | Fortaleza · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | −6.88 |
| M28 | Sao Paulo · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −4.99 |
| M29 | Atletico GO · Away18 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | −5.07 |
| M30 | Vasco · Away24 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −5.93 |
| M31 | Corinthians · Home28 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −7.10 |
| M32 | Bragantino · Away2 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.23 | −6.87 |
| M33 | Botafogo RJ · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.64 | −6.24 |
| M34 | Flamengo RJ · Home20 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −7.20 |
| M35 | Juventude · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −6.93 |
| M36 | Bahia · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −7.88 |
| M37 | Fluminense · Away5 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.50 | −8.39 |
| M38 | Vasco · Home8 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −9.49 |
| Total | 30 | −9.49 | |||