Points
70Points expected by the market
65.93Gap
+4.07Yield
−3.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 11 | −0.39 | −19.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 45 | +5.04 | +15.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.38 | +3.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 11 | −0.39 | −19.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 27 | −0.25 | −5.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 18 | +5.29 | +57.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.38 | +3.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.96 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atletico GO · Away14 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +1.10 |
| M2 | Sao Paulo · Home18 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +2.16 |
| M3 | Palmeiras · Away21 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | +2.11 |
| M4 | Botafogo RJ · Home28 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.02 | +0.09 |
| M5 | Bragantino · Away4 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.30 |
| M6 | Corinthians · Home11 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +0.67 |
| M7 | Vasco · Away2 Jun 2024 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +1.75 |
| M8 | Gremio · Home14 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +2.69 |
| M9 | Athletico-PR · Away16 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +2.39 |
| M10 | Bahia · Home21 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +3.39 |
| M11 | Fluminense · Away23 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +4.54 |
| M12 | Juventude · Away27 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | +2.73 |
| M13 | Cruzeiro · Home30 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +3.76 |
| M14 | Atletico-MG · Away4 Jul 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.64 | +5.40 |
| M15 | Cuiaba · Home7 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.22 | +4.18 |
| M16 | Fortaleza · Home12 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.02 | +2.16 |
| M17 | Criciuma · Home20 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.77 | +2.93 |
| M18 | Vitoria · Away25 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +4.02 |
| M19 | Atletico GO · Home28 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +4.64 |
| M20 | Sao Paulo · Away4 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +3.56 |
| M21 | Palmeiras · Home11 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | +2.66 |
| M22 | Botafogo RJ · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.20 | +1.46 |
| M23 | Bragantino · Home26 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +2.45 |
| M24 | Corinthians · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.21 |
| M25 | Vasco · Home15 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | +0.29 |
| M26 | Gremio · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.61 |
| M27 | Athletico-PR · Home30 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +0.44 |
| M28 | Bahia · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.07 |
| M29 | Fluminense · Home18 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.93 | +0.13 |
| M30 | Juventude · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.69 | +0.82 |
| M31 | Internacional · Away30 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.90 |
| M32 | Cruzeiro · Away7 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +2.63 |
| M33 | Atletico-MG · Home13 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | +1.91 |
| M34 | Cuiaba · Away20 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +3.16 |
| M35 | Fortaleza · Away26 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +2.66 |
| M36 | Internacional · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.23 | +3.89 |
| M37 | Criciuma · Away4 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +5.33 |
| M38 | Vitoria · Home8 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.25 | +4.07 |
| Total | 70 | +4.07 | |||