Points
46Points expected by the market
49.86Gap
−3.86Yield
+0.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.71 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −4.07 | −41.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 18 | −1.11 | −5.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 11 | +0.61 | +41.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.71 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −4.07 | −41.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.72 | +12.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.89 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 6 | −3.83 | −21.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 11 | +1.50 | +54.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bragantino · Home14 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.86 | −0.86 |
| M2 | Bahia · Away17 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.97 |
| M3 | Vasco · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.69 |
| M4 | Corinthians · Away28 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.80 |
| M5 | Atletico-MG · Home4 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.91 |
| M6 | Sao Paulo · Away14 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −2.72 |
| M7 | Juventude · Home1 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −3.77 |
| M8 | Botafogo RJ · Away12 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −4.75 |
| M9 | Atletico GO · Home16 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.79 | −6.54 |
| M10 | Cruzeiro · Away20 Jun 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −7.40 |
| M11 | Flamengo RJ · Home23 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −8.29 |
| M12 | Vitoria · Home27 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | −10.08 |
| M13 | Gremio · Away30 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −11.03 |
| M14 | Internacional · Home5 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −11.38 |
| M15 | Fortaleza · Away7 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −12.21 |
| M16 | Criciuma · Away12 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −12.21 |
| M17 | Cuiaba · Away22 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −10.44 |
| M18 | Palmeiras · Home25 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −8.67 |
| M19 | Bragantino · Away28 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −6.86 |
| M20 | Bahia · Home4 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −5.52 |
| M21 | Vasco · Away11 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −6.82 |
| M22 | Corinthians · Home18 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | −7.27 |
| M23 | Atletico-MG · Away25 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −5.20 |
| M24 | Sao Paulo · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −3.73 |
| M25 | Juventude · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −5.18 |
| M26 | Botafogo RJ · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −6.31 |
| M27 | Atletico GO · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −7.56 |
| M28 | Cruzeiro · Home4 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −6.05 |
| M29 | Flamengo RJ · Away18 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.22 | −3.83 |
| M30 | Athletico-PR · Home22 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −2.71 |
| M31 | Vitoria · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −3.89 |
| M32 | Gremio · Home2 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −4.53 |
| M33 | Internacional · Away8 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −5.15 |
| M34 | Fortaleza · Home23 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | −5.83 |
| M35 | Criciuma · Home26 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.00 | −6.82 |
| M36 | Athletico-PR · Away1 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −6.94 |
| M37 | Cuiaba · Home5 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.71 | −6.22 |
| M38 | Palmeiras · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.37 | −3.86 |
| Total | 46 | −3.86 | |||