Points
68Points expected by the market
52.27Gap
+15.73Yield
+28.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 33 | +8.82 | +36.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +2.59 | +16.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 14 | +4.31 | +34.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 33 | +8.82 | +36.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 14 | +5.65 | +76.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.06 | −27.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 14 | +4.31 | +34.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sao Paulo · Away14 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.08 | +2.08 |
| M2 | Cruzeiro · Home18 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +1.35 |
| M3 | Bragantino · Home28 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +0.77 |
| M4 | Corinthians · Away5 May 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.71 |
| M5 | Botafogo RJ · Home12 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −0.01 |
| M6 | Athletico-PR · Home2 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.24 |
| M7 | Bahia · Away14 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | +0.29 |
| M8 | Cuiaba · Away16 Jun 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.45 | −1.16 |
| M9 | Gremio · Home20 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +0.06 |
| M10 | Atletico-MG · Away23 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.23 |
| M11 | Palmeiras · Home27 Jun 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +2.01 |
| M12 | Juventude · Home30 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +3.02 |
| M13 | Vasco · Away4 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +1.85 |
| M14 | Fluminense · Home7 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +2.94 |
| M15 | Flamengo RJ · Away12 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.27 | +5.21 |
| M16 | Vitoria · Home18 Jul 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +6.21 |
| M17 | Atletico GO · Home21 Jul 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +7.30 |
| M18 | Criciuma · Away24 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +6.97 |
| M19 | Sao Paulo · Home28 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +8.41 |
| M20 | Cruzeiro · Away6 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +10.48 |
| M21 | Criciuma · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +11.62 |
| M22 | Bragantino · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +13.33 |
| M23 | Corinthians · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +14.59 |
| M24 | Botafogo RJ · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | +13.86 |
| M25 | Internacional · Away11 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +12.85 |
| M26 | Athletico-PR · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +12.88 |
| M27 | Bahia · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +14.49 |
| M28 | Cuiaba · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +15.57 |
| M29 | Gremio · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.10 | +14.47 |
| M30 | Atletico-MG · Home17 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | +13.53 |
| M31 | Palmeiras · Away26 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.47 | +14.00 |
| M32 | Juventude · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +15.73 |
| M33 | Vasco · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +16.81 |
| M34 | Fluminense · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | +16.78 |
| M35 | Flamengo RJ · Home26 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +16.58 |
| M36 | Vitoria · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +15.45 |
| M37 | Atletico GO · Away5 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +14.12 |
| M38 | Internacional · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +15.73 |
| Total | 68 | +15.73 | |||