Points
45Points expected by the market
48.68Gap
−3.68Yield
−24.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +3.87 | +29.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 16 | −4.40 | −33.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 7 | −3.14 | −56.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +3.87 | +29.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 7 | −4.78 | −45.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | +0.38 | −18.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 7 | −3.14 | −56.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Vasco · Away14 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.12 |
| M2 | Athletico-PR · Home17 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.50 |
| M3 | Cuiaba · Home20 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +1.56 |
| M4 | Bahia · Away28 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.70 |
| M5 | Bragantino · Home1 Jun 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −0.49 |
| M6 | Flamengo RJ · Away14 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −1.19 |
| M7 | Botafogo RJ · Home16 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.30 |
| M8 | Fortaleza · Away20 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −3.25 |
| M9 | Internacional · Home22 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −4.50 |
| M10 | Atletico GO · Away27 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −4.61 |
| M11 | Fluminense · Home30 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −3.38 |
| M12 | Palmeiras · Home4 Jul 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | −3.58 |
| M13 | Juventude · Away7 Jul 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −4.89 |
| M14 | Cruzeiro · Home10 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −6.31 |
| M15 | Sao Paulo · Away18 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −7.00 |
| M16 | Vitoria · Home21 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −5.86 |
| M17 | Corinthians · Away26 Jul 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | −5.85 |
| M18 | Vasco · Home28 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −4.53 |
| M19 | Athletico-PR · Away4 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.21 | −2.31 |
| M20 | Cuiaba · Away10 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.76 | −0.55 |
| M21 | Bahia · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.90 |
| M22 | Criciuma · Away25 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −0.27 |
| M23 | Atletico-MG · Home1 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −1.90 |
| M24 | Bragantino · Away15 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.16 |
| M25 | Flamengo RJ · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.17 | −0.99 |
| M26 | Criciuma · Home25 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.92 | −2.92 |
| M27 | Botafogo RJ · Away29 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | −2.74 |
| M28 | Fortaleza · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −1.36 |
| M29 | Atletico-MG · Away9 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.26 |
| M30 | Internacional · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −3.10 |
| M31 | Atletico GO · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.95 | −2.15 |
| M32 | Fluminense · Away2 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −2.21 |
| M33 | Palmeiras · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.56 | −2.77 |
| M34 | Juventude · Home20 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | −3.60 |
| M35 | Cruzeiro · Away28 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −3.61 |
| M36 | Sao Paulo · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −2.12 |
| M37 | Vitoria · Away4 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.33 |
| M38 | Corinthians · Home8 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −3.68 |
| Total | 45 | −3.68 | |||