Points
65Points expected by the market
59.65Gap
+5.35Yield
+0.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +3.12 | +41.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 24 | +1.92 | +7.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 25 | +0.99 | −16.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.68 | +11.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +3.12 | +41.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +0.55 | −2.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.94 | −45.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.37 | +111.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +1.93 | −7.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.68 | +11.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bahia · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.21 |
| M2 | Palmeiras · Away18 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.22 | +3.43 |
| M3 | Athletico-PR · Away21 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | +2.42 |
| M4 | Atletico GO · Home29 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.08 | +1.34 |
| M5 | Cuiaba · Away1 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.74 |
| M6 | Sao Paulo · Home14 Jun 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | +2.24 |
| M7 | Vitoria · Away16 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.95 |
| M8 | Corinthians · Home20 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +2.36 |
| M9 | Gremio · Away22 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +3.93 |
| M10 | Atletico-MG · Home27 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.64 | +2.29 |
| M11 | Criciuma · Away30 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.94 |
| M12 | Fluminense · Away5 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +1.61 |
| M13 | Vasco · Home7 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.96 | −0.35 |
| M14 | Botafogo RJ · Away20 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.28 |
| M15 | Bahia · Away28 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −1.29 |
| M16 | Palmeiras · Home4 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −1.80 |
| M17 | Athletico-PR · Home11 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.77 | −2.56 |
| M18 | Juventude · Home14 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | −1.60 |
| M19 | Atletico GO · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −3.05 |
| M20 | Cruzeiro · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −1.77 |
| M21 | Cruzeiro · Away28 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −1.90 |
| M22 | Juventude · Away1 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −0.49 |
| M23 | Fortaleza · Home11 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +0.80 |
| M24 | Cuiaba · Home17 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +1.62 |
| M25 | Sao Paulo · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.28 |
| M26 | Bragantino · Away25 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +2.75 |
| M27 | Vitoria · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +3.50 |
| M28 | Corinthians · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | +3.35 |
| M29 | Gremio · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +4.45 |
| M30 | Atletico-MG · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +5.88 |
| M31 | Flamengo RJ · Home30 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +5.07 |
| M32 | Criciuma · Home6 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +5.78 |
| M33 | Fluminense · Home8 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +6.63 |
| M34 | Vasco · Away21 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +7.99 |
| M35 | Bragantino · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +8.95 |
| M36 | Flamengo RJ · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +7.99 |
| M37 | Botafogo RJ · Home5 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +6.66 |
| M38 | Fortaleza · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.31 | +5.35 |
| Total | 65 | +5.35 | |||