Points
45Points expected by the market
40.73Gap
+4.27Yield
−2.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.99 | −46.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 20 | +5.23 | +53.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 20 | +1.04 | −20.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.99 | −46.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 17 | +3.48 | +38.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 8 | +3.21 | +66.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.75 | +203.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 12 | −2.17 | −45.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Criciuma · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.04 |
| M2 | Corinthians · Home18 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +1.82 |
| M3 | Botafogo RJ · Away21 Apr 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.72 | +1.10 |
| M4 | Athletico-PR · Home28 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.81 |
| M5 | Fluminense · Away1 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | +1.09 |
| M6 | Atletico GO · Home5 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.57 |
| M7 | Vitoria · Home11 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +1.84 |
| M8 | Bragantino · Away15 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | +1.11 |
| M9 | Vasco · Home20 Jun 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.48 |
| M10 | Palmeiras · Away23 Jun 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.55 | +1.92 |
| M11 | Flamengo RJ · Home27 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | +4.01 |
| M12 | Fortaleza · Away30 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | +3.27 |
| M13 | Bahia · Away4 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.68 | +2.59 |
| M14 | Gremio · Home7 Jul 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +4.19 |
| M15 | Atletico-MG · Home16 Jul 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +4.21 |
| M16 | Sao Paulo · Home21 Jul 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | +4.14 |
| M17 | Cruzeiro · Away24 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.61 | +3.53 |
| M18 | Criciuma · Home27 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +1.97 |
| M19 | Corinthians · Away4 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | +2.21 |
| M20 | Botafogo RJ · Home11 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.97 | +4.18 |
| M21 | Internacional · Away14 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | +3.44 |
| M22 | Athletico-PR · Away18 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.17 | +5.62 |
| M23 | Atletico GO · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +4.72 |
| M24 | Internacional · Home1 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | +3.60 |
| M25 | Cuiaba · Away6 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | +3.52 |
| M26 | Fluminense · Home15 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +5.27 |
| M27 | Vitoria · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | +4.26 |
| M28 | Bragantino · Home29 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +3.86 |
| M29 | Vasco · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | +4.02 |
| M30 | Palmeiras · Home21 Oct 2024 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.80 | +3.22 |
| M31 | Flamengo RJ · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.50 | +2.72 |
| M32 | Fortaleza · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.43 | +1.30 |
| M33 | Bahia · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +2.87 |
| M34 | Gremio · Away20 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | +2.97 |
| M35 | Cuiaba · Home23 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | +1.96 |
| M36 | Atletico-MG · Away27 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.71 |
| M37 | Sao Paulo · Away4 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.18 | +5.88 |
| M38 | Cruzeiro · Home8 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | +4.27 |
| Total | 45 | +4.27 | |||