Points
59Points expected by the market
56.77Gap
+2.23Yield
+2.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 35 | +5.30 | +23.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 21 | −0.99 | −12.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.07 | −17.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 31 | +4.55 | +25.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +0.65 | −4.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.75 | +9.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −1.64 | −15.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.07 | −17.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fortaleza · Home14 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.79 | −1.79 |
| M2 | Flamengo RJ · Away18 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −2.58 |
| M3 | Atletico GO · Away21 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −0.96 |
| M4 | Palmeiras · Home30 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −1.37 |
| M5 | Vitoria · Away5 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.03 |
| M6 | Fluminense · Home14 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +1.10 |
| M7 | Cruzeiro · Home2 Jun 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.34 |
| M8 | Internacional · Away14 Jun 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | +2.16 |
| M9 | Corinthians · Away16 Jun 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +1.64 |
| M10 | Cuiaba · Home20 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.10 | −0.46 |
| M11 | Vasco · Away23 Jun 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.01 |
| M12 | Criciuma · Home28 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | −1.08 |
| M13 | Bahia · Home30 Jun 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +0.19 |
| M14 | Athletico-PR · Away4 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +2.02 |
| M15 | Bragantino · Home7 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +3.29 |
| M16 | Atletico-MG · Away12 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +2.05 |
| M17 | Gremio · Home18 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +2.98 |
| M18 | Juventude · Away21 Jul 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | +2.34 |
| M19 | Botafogo RJ · Home24 Jul 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | +1.75 |
| M20 | Fortaleza · Away28 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.64 |
| M21 | Flamengo RJ · Home4 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.04 |
| M22 | Atletico GO · Home11 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +3.25 |
| M23 | Palmeiras · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +2.47 |
| M24 | Vitoria · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +3.56 |
| M25 | Fluminense · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | +2.42 |
| M26 | Cruzeiro · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.13 | +4.55 |
| M27 | Internacional · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.33 | +3.22 |
| M28 | Corinthians · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +4.80 |
| M29 | Cuiaba · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +3.25 |
| M30 | Vasco · Home17 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +4.40 |
| M31 | Criciuma · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +3.91 |
| M32 | Bahia · Away6 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +5.77 |
| M33 | Athletico-PR · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +6.70 |
| M34 | Bragantino · Away20 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +6.47 |
| M35 | Atletico-MG · Home24 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.74 | +5.73 |
| M36 | Gremio · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +4.54 |
| M37 | Juventude · Home4 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.92 | +2.62 |
| M38 | Botafogo RJ · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.39 | +2.23 |
| Total | 59 | +2.23 | |||