Points
50Points expected by the market
45.33Gap
+4.67Yield
+1.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +2.11 | +12.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 26 | +12.94 | +130.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 6 | −10.38 | −70.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | +0.71 | −1.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 20 | +9.24 | +104.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.83 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.40 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.70 | +233.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 6 | −7.55 | −65.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Gremio · Home14 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.41 |
| M2 | Bragantino · Away17 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +0.42 |
| M3 | Fluminense · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −0.58 |
| M4 | Criciuma · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.97 | −2.54 |
| M5 | Athletico-PR · Away5 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −3.34 |
| M6 | Vitoria · Home12 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | −2.23 |
| M7 | Flamengo RJ · Home2 Jun 2024 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.83 | −3.06 |
| M8 | Palmeiras · Away14 Jun 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −3.66 |
| M9 | Cruzeiro · Home16 Jun 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −3.99 |
| M10 | Juventude · Away20 Jun 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −5.05 |
| M11 | Sao Paulo · Home23 Jun 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −3.20 |
| M12 | Bahia · Away27 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −3.95 |
| M13 | Botafogo RJ · Home29 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −4.19 |
| M14 | Fortaleza · Home4 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −2.73 |
| M15 | Internacional · Away7 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.22 | −0.51 |
| M16 | Corinthians · Home10 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.95 |
| M17 | Atletico GO · Away17 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +2.81 |
| M18 | Atletico-MG · Away21 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +1.98 |
| M19 | Gremio · Away28 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.95 |
| M20 | Bragantino · Home3 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | +0.23 |
| M21 | Fluminense · Home11 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.86 |
| M22 | Criciuma · Away18 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | +1.82 |
| M23 | Athletico-PR · Home27 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.22 |
| M24 | Vitoria · Away1 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +5.05 |
| M25 | Flamengo RJ · Away15 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | +5.23 |
| M26 | Palmeiras · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | +4.31 |
| M27 | Cruzeiro · Away29 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +4.43 |
| M28 | Juventude · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | +3.53 |
| M29 | Sao Paulo · Away17 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +2.66 |
| M30 | Cuiaba · Home24 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +3.81 |
| M31 | Bahia · Home29 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.70 | +5.50 |
| M32 | Botafogo RJ · Away6 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.56 | +4.95 |
| M33 | Fortaleza · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | +4.12 |
| M34 | Internacional · Home21 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +3.04 |
| M35 | Corinthians · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.73 | +2.31 |
| M36 | Atletico GO · Home1 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.77 | +1.54 |
| M37 | Atletico-MG · Home4 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +3.26 |
| M38 | Cuiaba · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +4.67 |
| Total | 50 | +4.67 | |||