Points
47Points expected by the market
41.27Gap
+5.73Yield
+13.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.69 | +109.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +1.25 | +9.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 20 | +1.79 | +8.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.69 | +109.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 21 | +1.25 | +9.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 20 | +4.75 | +25.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Palmeiras · Home14 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.04 |
| M2 | Bahia · Home21 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −1.21 |
| M3 | Cruzeiro · Away28 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.68 | −1.89 |
| M4 | Sao Paulo · Home5 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.97 |
| M5 | Vasco · Away12 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −3.81 |
| M6 | Atletico GO · Home1 Jun 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −5.40 |
| M7 | Cuiaba · Away6 Jun 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | −5.46 |
| M8 | Juventude · Away11 Jun 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −5.43 |
| M9 | Internacional · Home16 Jun 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −3.81 |
| M10 | Atletico-MG · Home20 Jun 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.70 | −2.11 |
| M11 | Bragantino · Away23 Jun 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.78 |
| M12 | Fluminense · Away27 Jun 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −0.71 |
| M13 | Athletico-PR · Home30 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −2.25 |
| M14 | Corinthians · Away5 Jul 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −3.13 |
| M15 | Criciuma · Home7 Jul 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −1.73 |
| M16 | Botafogo RJ · Home12 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −2.97 |
| M17 | Fortaleza · Away18 Jul 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −3.72 |
| M18 | Gremio · Away21 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −4.58 |
| M19 | Flamengo RJ · Home25 Jul 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −5.41 |
| M20 | Palmeiras · Away27 Jul 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.38 | −3.03 |
| M21 | Cuiaba · Home3 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −1.36 |
| M22 | Bahia · Away11 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −2.11 |
| M23 | Cruzeiro · Home20 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −2.45 |
| M24 | Sao Paulo · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −3.28 |
| M25 | Vasco · Home1 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −4.81 |
| M26 | Atletico GO · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −2.79 |
| M27 | Juventude · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −1.49 |
| M28 | Internacional · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −2.04 |
| M29 | Atletico-MG · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.14 | −1.89 |
| M30 | Bragantino · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −0.47 |
| M31 | Fluminense · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.03 |
| M32 | Athletico-PR · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.13 | +3.16 |
| M33 | Corinthians · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +1.94 |
| M34 | Criciuma · Away20 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +3.86 |
| M35 | Botafogo RJ · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.48 | +4.34 |
| M36 | Fortaleza · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +5.78 |
| M37 | Gremio · Home4 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +5.29 |
| M38 | Flamengo RJ · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.44 | +5.73 |
| Total | 47 | +5.73 | |||