Points
48Points expected by the market
54.95Gap
−6.95Yield
−34.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 31 | +1.52 | −5.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 15 | −2.52 | −25.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 2 | −5.95 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 31 | +1.52 | −5.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.30 | +11.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 12 | −2.82 | −31.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 1 | −5.93 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Gremio · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −1.31 |
| M2 | Sao Paulo · Home6 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | −2.05 |
| M3 | Vitoria · Home14 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.07 | −3.12 |
| M4 | Santos · Away17 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −4.35 |
| M5 | Botafogo RJ · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −2.92 |
| M6 | Mirassol · Away26 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | −3.41 |
| M7 | Juventude · Away6 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −1.97 |
| M8 | Fluminense · Home11 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.73 |
| M9 | Cruzeiro · Away19 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.00 |
| M10 | Corinthians · Home25 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.93 | −1.92 |
| M11 | Ceara · Away1 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −0.25 |
| M12 | Internacional · Home13 Jun 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +0.98 |
| M13 | Bahia · Away13 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.07 |
| M14 | Palmeiras · Away20 Jul 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −0.85 |
| M15 | Flamengo RJ · Away28 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.56 | −1.41 |
| M16 | Bragantino · Home3 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −0.16 |
| M17 | Vasco · Away10 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.49 |
| M18 | Gremio · Home17 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.96 | −2.45 |
| M19 | Sao Paulo · Away25 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −3.28 |
| M20 | Vitoria · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −4.79 |
| M21 | Santos · Home14 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | −5.55 |
| M22 | Botafogo RJ · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −6.37 |
| M23 | Mirassol · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −4.98 |
| M24 | Juventude · Home1 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.01 | −5.99 |
| M25 | Fluminense · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −6.93 |
| M26 | Sport Recife · Home8 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.11 | −5.82 |
| M27 | Cruzeiro · Home16 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −6.48 |
| M28 | Corinthians · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −7.42 |
| M29 | Ceara · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −6.23 |
| M30 | Internacional · Away2 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | −6.24 |
| M31 | Bahia · Home5 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −4.86 |
| M32 | Sport Recife · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.51 | −3.35 |
| M33 | Fortaleza · Home12 Nov 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.05 | −4.40 |
| M34 | Bragantino · Away16 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −5.55 |
| M35 | Flamengo RJ · Home26 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −5.56 |
| M36 | Fortaleza · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −6.72 |
| M37 | Palmeiras · Home4 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −7.85 |
| M38 | Vasco · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.90 | −6.95 |
| Total | 48 | −6.95 | |||