Points
63Points expected by the market
58.90Gap
+4.10Yield
−8.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | −0.03 | −14.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 40 | +8.89 | +30.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 9 | −4.11 | −39.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | −0.65 | −51.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | −0.03 | −14.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 31 | +4.80 | +12.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.87 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +4.09 | +110.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.24 | −24.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | −0.65 | −51.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Palmeiras · Away30 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.24 |
| M2 | Juventude · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.99 |
| M3 | Bragantino · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.43 |
| M4 | Sao Paulo · Home16 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | −1.28 |
| M5 | Atletico-MG · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −2.41 |
| M6 | Fluminense · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −1.05 |
| M7 | Bahia · Away4 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −2.06 |
| M8 | Internacional · Home12 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −0.98 |
| M9 | Flamengo RJ · Away18 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.80 |
| M10 | Santos · Away1 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +1.16 |
| M11 | Ceara · Home5 Jun 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.92 | +2.08 |
| M12 | Vasco · Away12 Jul 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +3.47 |
| M13 | Vitoria · Home17 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.27 | +2.20 |
| M14 | Sport Recife · Away20 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +3.58 |
| M15 | Corinthians · Home26 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | +2.55 |
| M16 | Cruzeiro · Home3 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +0.98 |
| M17 | Fortaleza · Away10 Aug 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +2.70 |
| M18 | Palmeiras · Home18 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | +1.41 |
| M19 | Juventude · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +2.73 |
| M20 | Bragantino · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +3.80 |
| M21 | Sao Paulo · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +2.73 |
| M22 | Mirassol · Home17 Sep 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.90 | +1.82 |
| M23 | Atletico-MG · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.93 |
| M24 | Gremio · Away24 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +2.63 |
| M25 | Fluminense · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +1.58 |
| M26 | Bahia · Home2 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.80 |
| M27 | Internacional · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +1.61 |
| M28 | Flamengo RJ · Home15 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.54 | +0.07 |
| M29 | Ceara · Away19 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +1.86 |
| M30 | Santos · Home26 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | +0.91 |
| M31 | Mirassol · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.69 |
| M32 | Vasco · Home5 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +1.82 |
| M33 | Vitoria · Away9 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +1.33 |
| M34 | Sport Recife · Home18 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.49 | +1.81 |
| M35 | Gremio · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.86 |
| M36 | Corinthians · Away30 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | +2.77 |
| M37 | Cruzeiro · Away4 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.17 | +2.95 |
| M38 | Fortaleza · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.15 | +4.10 |
| Total | 63 | +4.10 | |||