Points
43Points expected by the market
45.35Gap
−2.35Yield
0.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −2.86 | −11.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 18 | −2.71 | −33.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 16 | +3.23 | +36.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −2.86 | −11.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | −0.01 | −9.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.19 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 2 | −2.71 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 15 | +3.04 | +46.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bragantino · Away1 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.02 |
| M2 | Gremio · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.37 |
| M3 | Juventude · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.23 |
| M4 | Vasco · Home16 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.65 |
| M5 | Bahia · Away22 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.76 |
| M6 | Sao Paulo · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +0.22 |
| M7 | Vitoria · Home3 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +1.63 |
| M8 | Santos · Away13 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +1.45 |
| M9 | Sport Recife · Home17 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.67 |
| M10 | Atletico-MG · Home1 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | +1.33 |
| M11 | Botafogo RJ · Away5 Jun 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.67 | +0.66 |
| M12 | Fortaleza · Away14 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +2.55 |
| M13 | Corinthians · Home16 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +1.06 |
| M14 | Internacional · Away20 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | +0.35 |
| M15 | Mirassol · Home23 Jul 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −1.29 |
| M16 | Cruzeiro · Away27 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.39 | +1.10 |
| M17 | Flamengo RJ · Home3 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | +1.29 |
| M18 | Palmeiras · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.53 | +0.75 |
| M19 | Bragantino · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.14 |
| M20 | Gremio · Away24 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | +2.13 |
| M21 | Juventude · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.90 | +0.23 |
| M22 | Vasco · Away15 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.25 |
| M23 | Bahia · Home20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.10 |
| M24 | Sao Paulo · Away30 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +2.15 |
| M25 | Vitoria · Away2 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.98 |
| M26 | Santos · Home6 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +2.51 |
| M27 | Sport Recife · Away16 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +2.27 |
| M28 | Botafogo RJ · Home19 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +0.80 |
| M29 | Atletico-MG · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.12 |
| M30 | Fluminense · Away29 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −0.81 |
| M31 | Fluminense · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.93 |
| M32 | Fortaleza · Home6 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.40 |
| M33 | Corinthians · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +2.56 |
| M34 | Internacional · Home21 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | +0.95 |
| M35 | Mirassol · Away24 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.87 | +0.08 |
| M36 | Cruzeiro · Home30 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.27 |
| M37 | Flamengo RJ · Away4 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.40 | −0.67 |
| M38 | Palmeiras · Home7 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.68 | −2.35 |
| Total | 43 | −2.35 | |||