Points
47Points expected by the market
51.63Gap
−4.63Yield
−23.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 22 | −3.16 | −21.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 17 | +1.13 | +20.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −2.60 | −68.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 22 | −1.45 | −15.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.32 | +26.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.99 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.71 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.18 | +17.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 7 | −1.61 | −61.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bahia · Away31 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.11 |
| M2 | Vasco · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +1.06 |
| M3 | Palmeiras · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +0.23 |
| M4 | Fluminense · Home16 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.62 | −1.39 |
| M5 | Sport Recife · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | −0.30 |
| M6 | Flamengo RJ · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.62 | −0.92 |
| M7 | Internacional · Home3 May 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.66 |
| M8 | Mirassol · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −0.72 |
| M9 | Santos · Home18 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +0.60 |
| M10 | Atletico-MG · Away25 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.80 |
| M11 | Vitoria · Home1 Jun 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.95 | −0.14 |
| M12 | Gremio · Away13 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.28 |
| M13 | Bragantino · Home13 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | −2.02 |
| M14 | Ceara · Away16 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −0.21 |
| M15 | Sao Paulo · Away20 Jul 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.25 |
| M16 | Cruzeiro · Home23 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −1.61 |
| M17 | Botafogo RJ · Away26 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.30 | −1.31 |
| M18 | Fortaleza · Home3 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −1.99 |
| M19 | Juventude · Away12 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −3.71 |
| M20 | Bahia · Home17 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −5.12 |
| M21 | Vasco · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.97 | −3.15 |
| M22 | Palmeiras · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −3.23 |
| M23 | Fluminense · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −1.38 |
| M24 | Sport Recife · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −2.80 |
| M25 | Flamengo RJ · Home29 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −3.70 |
| M26 | Internacional · Away1 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −3.68 |
| M27 | Mirassol · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.37 |
| M28 | Santos · Away16 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −3.57 |
| M29 | Atletico-MG · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −2.34 |
| M30 | Vitoria · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −0.66 |
| M31 | Gremio · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +0.36 |
| M32 | Bragantino · Away5 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −1.01 |
| M33 | Ceara · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.88 | −2.89 |
| M34 | Sao Paulo · Home20 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −1.40 |
| M35 | Cruzeiro · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −2.21 |
| M36 | Botafogo RJ · Home30 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −2.84 |
| M37 | Fortaleza · Away3 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −3.75 |
| M38 | Juventude · Home7 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | −4.63 |
| Total | 47 | −4.63 | |||