Points
79Points expected by the market
75.39Gap
+3.61Yield
−0.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 45 | +5.50 | +9.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 27 | −6.07 | −28.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.79 | +184.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.39 | +79.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 38 | +5.19 | +13.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | −0.53 | −28.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.30 | −8.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 18 | −5.54 | −28.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.79 | +184.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.39 | +79.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Internacional · Home30 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −0.86 |
| M2 | Vitoria · Away6 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +0.26 |
| M3 | Gremio · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.45 |
| M4 | Juventude · Home17 Apr 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.49 | +1.95 |
| M5 | Vasco · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.23 | +0.72 |
| M6 | Corinthians · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +1.57 |
| M7 | Cruzeiro · Away4 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −0.24 |
| M8 | Bahia · Home11 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +0.51 |
| M9 | Botafogo RJ · Home18 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | −0.40 |
| M10 | Palmeiras · Away25 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.50 |
| M11 | Fortaleza · Home1 Jun 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +2.19 |
| M12 | Sao Paulo · Home12 Jul 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +3.01 |
| M13 | Santos · Away17 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | +1.23 |
| M14 | Fluminense · Home20 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +2.32 |
| M15 | Bragantino · Away24 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +3.57 |
| M16 | Atletico-MG · Home28 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +4.36 |
| M17 | Ceara · Away3 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | +3.45 |
| M18 | Mirassol · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.65 | +4.10 |
| M19 | Internacional · Away17 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +5.29 |
| M20 | Vitoria · Home26 Aug 2025 | W 8-0 | 3 | +0.47 | +5.76 |
| M21 | Gremio · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.46 | +4.30 |
| M22 | Juventude · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +5.02 |
| M23 | Vasco · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.32 | +3.70 |
| M24 | Corinthians · Away29 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +4.91 |
| M25 | Cruzeiro · Home3 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.07 | +3.84 |
| M26 | Bahia · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.96 | +1.88 |
| M27 | Botafogo RJ · Away15 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.67 |
| M28 | Palmeiras · Home19 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.21 | +4.88 |
| M29 | Fortaleza · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.96 | +2.92 |
| M30 | Sport Recife · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +3.44 |
| M31 | Sao Paulo · Away6 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.77 | +2.67 |
| M32 | Santos · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.70 | +3.37 |
| M33 | Sport Recife · Away15 Nov 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.81 | +4.18 |
| M34 | Fluminense · Away20 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | +2.57 |
| M35 | Bragantino · Home23 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +3.25 |
| M36 | Atletico-MG · Away26 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +2.56 |
| M37 | Ceara · Home4 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.56 | +3.12 |
| M38 | Mirassol · Away6 Dec 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.49 | +3.61 |
| Total | 79 | +3.61 | |||