Points
43Points expected by the market
46.21Gap
−3.21Yield
−17.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +5.02 | +47.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 13 | −9.06 | −53.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 14 | +0.84 | −5.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +5.02 | +47.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −8.03 | −57.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.23 | +163.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.03 | −46.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 11 | −0.39 | −29.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fluminense · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.52 |
| M2 | Mirassol · Away6 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +1.38 |
| M3 | Internacional · Home14 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | +1.12 |
| M4 | Vitoria · Away17 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.05 |
| M5 | Palmeiras · Home20 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.03 |
| M6 | Sport Recife · Away27 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −1.07 |
| M7 | Sao Paulo · Away3 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.94 |
| M8 | Juventude · Home10 May 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +0.02 |
| M9 | Vasco · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.19 |
| M10 | Cruzeiro · Home26 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −2.75 |
| M11 | Flamengo RJ · Away1 Jun 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.50 | −3.25 |
| M12 | Santos · Home12 Jun 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.56 | −4.81 |
| M13 | Ceara · Home14 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −6.39 |
| M14 | Bahia · Home19 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −6.66 |
| M15 | Bragantino · Home26 Jul 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −5.47 |
| M16 | Gremio · Away30 Jul 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −6.46 |
| M17 | Corinthians · Away3 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −6.47 |
| M18 | Botafogo RJ · Home10 Aug 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.42 | −7.89 |
| M19 | Fluminense · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −8.74 |
| M20 | Mirassol · Home24 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −10.16 |
| M21 | Internacional · Away1 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −10.93 |
| M22 | Vitoria · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −9.74 |
| M23 | Palmeiras · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.57 | −10.31 |
| M24 | Sport Recife · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −9.14 |
| M25 | Sao Paulo · Home2 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −10.51 |
| M26 | Juventude · Away5 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −8.86 |
| M27 | Vasco · Home16 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −10.42 |
| M28 | Cruzeiro · Away19 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | −11.17 |
| M29 | Flamengo RJ · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.21 | −8.95 |
| M30 | Santos · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −8.77 |
| M31 | Ceara · Away6 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −8.93 |
| M32 | Gremio · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | −9.62 |
| M33 | Atletico-MG · Away12 Nov 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.29 | −9.33 |
| M34 | Bahia · Away20 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.30 | −7.03 |
| M35 | Bragantino · Away26 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −4.96 |
| M36 | Atletico-MG · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −3.51 |
| M37 | Corinthians · Home3 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −2.30 |
| M38 | Botafogo RJ · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.91 | −3.21 |
| Total | 43 | −3.21 | |||