Points
49Points expected by the market
46.14Gap
+2.86Yield
−7.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +3.56 | +31.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 20 | +0.59 | −13.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 13 | −1.29 | −18.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.31 | +22.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +0.69 | −11.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.13 | +112.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.25 | +88.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.09 | −21.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 10 | −2.42 | −35.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atletico-MG · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.63 |
| M2 | Ceara · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +0.58 |
| M3 | Flamengo RJ · Home13 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.33 |
| M4 | Mirassol · Away16 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.74 |
| M5 | Internacional · Home20 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −1.91 |
| M6 | Vitoria · Away27 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −2.09 |
| M7 | Santos · Home4 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −0.65 |
| M8 | Bragantino · Home10 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −1.03 |
| M9 | Sao Paulo · Away18 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.77 |
| M10 | Bahia · Home25 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −0.23 |
| M11 | Juventude · Away1 Jun 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.27 |
| M12 | Corinthians · Home13 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.73 |
| M13 | Cruzeiro · Away14 Jul 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.73 | 0.00 |
| M14 | Vasco · Away19 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.06 |
| M15 | Palmeiras · Away27 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.57 | −0.63 |
| M16 | Fortaleza · Home30 Jul 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.63 |
| M17 | Fluminense · Away3 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.28 |
| M18 | Sport Recife · Home11 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.82 | −2.10 |
| M19 | Atletico-MG · Away17 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.22 | +0.11 |
| M20 | Ceara · Home24 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.57 |
| M21 | Flamengo RJ · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.62 | +0.05 |
| M22 | Mirassol · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.48 |
| M23 | Internacional · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.07 | +0.59 |
| M24 | Botafogo RJ · Home24 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.20 |
| M25 | Vitoria · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +1.41 |
| M26 | Santos · Away2 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | +1.57 |
| M27 | Bragantino · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | +0.60 |
| M28 | Sao Paulo · Home16 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +2.64 |
| M29 | Bahia · Away20 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.86 | +1.78 |
| M30 | Juventude · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +2.92 |
| M31 | Corinthians · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | +2.14 |
| M32 | Cruzeiro · Home5 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | +1.00 |
| M33 | Fortaleza · Away9 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.97 |
| M34 | Vasco · Home20 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +2.18 |
| M35 | Botafogo RJ · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.79 | +1.39 |
| M36 | Palmeiras · Home26 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.88 |
| M37 | Fluminense · Home3 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +1.61 |
| M38 | Sport Recife · Away7 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.86 |
| Total | 49 | +2.86 | |||