Points
35Points expected by the market
33.70Gap
+1.30Yield
−12.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.40 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +0.34 | −9.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 28 | 20 | −0.43 | −17.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.40 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +0.34 | −9.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 8 | −0.08 | −13.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 12 | −0.35 | −19.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Vitoria · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.40 |
| M2 | Botafogo RJ · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | +0.86 |
| M3 | Ceara · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.30 |
| M4 | Flamengo RJ · Away17 Apr 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.35 | +1.95 |
| M5 | Mirassol · Home20 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +1.43 |
| M6 | Internacional · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.55 | +0.88 |
| M7 | Atletico-MG · Home6 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.27 |
| M8 | Fortaleza · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.72 | −0.99 |
| M9 | Fluminense · Home18 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −1.03 |
| M10 | Bragantino · Away27 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.57 | −1.60 |
| M11 | Gremio · Home1 Jun 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −2.80 |
| M12 | Sport Recife · Home15 Jul 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −1.14 |
| M13 | Cruzeiro · Away20 Jul 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.48 | −1.62 |
| M14 | Sao Paulo · Home24 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.51 |
| M15 | Bahia · Away27 Jul 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.43 | −2.95 |
| M16 | Santos · Away5 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −3.51 |
| M17 | Corinthians · Home12 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | −1.50 |
| M18 | Vitoria · Away16 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.16 | −1.34 |
| M19 | Vasco · Home20 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +0.64 |
| M20 | Botafogo RJ · Home24 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.40 |
| M21 | Ceara · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +1.77 |
| M22 | Flamengo RJ · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.52 | +1.25 |
| M23 | Mirassol · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +0.56 |
| M24 | Internacional · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.41 |
| M25 | Atletico-MG · Away1 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.68 |
| M26 | Fortaleza · Home5 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.68 |
| M27 | Palmeiras · Away11 Oct 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.37 | −1.04 |
| M28 | Fluminense · Away17 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.58 | −1.62 |
| M29 | Bragantino · Home20 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +0.18 |
| M30 | Gremio · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.69 |
| M31 | Palmeiras · Home2 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −1.41 |
| M32 | Sport Recife · Away5 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +0.61 |
| M33 | Vasco · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.33 | +2.94 |
| M34 | Cruzeiro · Home20 Nov 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.07 | +2.87 |
| M35 | Sao Paulo · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | +2.12 |
| M36 | Bahia · Home28 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +1.94 |
| M37 | Santos · Home3 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.78 | +1.16 |
| M38 | Corinthians · Away7 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | +1.30 |
| Total | 35 | +1.30 | |||