Points
17Points expected by the market
39.64Gap
−22.64Yield
−80.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −3.12 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 9 | −10.64 | −80.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 6 | −8.88 | −77.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −3.12 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 8 | −9.15 | −77.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.66 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.49 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 6 | −6.22 | −73.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sao Paulo · Away29 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.19 |
| M2 | Palmeiras · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.03 |
| M3 | Vasco · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.97 | −2.00 |
| M4 | Bragantino · Home16 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −3.50 |
| M5 | Corinthians · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −4.31 |
| M6 | Fortaleza · Home27 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −4.99 |
| M7 | Fluminense · Away3 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −5.82 |
| M8 | Cruzeiro · Home11 May 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.45 | −7.27 |
| M9 | Ceara · Away17 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −8.20 |
| M10 | Internacional · Home25 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −8.62 |
| M11 | Mirassol · Away1 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −9.53 |
| M12 | Juventude · Away15 Jul 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −10.88 |
| M13 | Botafogo RJ · Home20 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −11.94 |
| M14 | Vitoria · Away24 Jul 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | −12.09 |
| M15 | Santos · Home26 Jul 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | −12.47 |
| M16 | Bahia · Home2 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −12.66 |
| M17 | Gremio · Away11 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.10 | −10.56 |
| M18 | Sao Paulo · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | −11.24 |
| M19 | Palmeiras · Away25 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.46 | −11.70 |
| M20 | Vasco · Home1 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −13.16 |
| M21 | Bragantino · Away14 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | −12.99 |
| M22 | Corinthians · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −11.25 |
| M23 | Fortaleza · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −12.16 |
| M24 | Fluminense · Home1 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −12.27 |
| M25 | Cruzeiro · Away6 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.32 | −11.95 |
| M26 | Atletico-MG · Away8 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −12.79 |
| M27 | Ceara · Home16 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −13.27 |
| M28 | Internacional · Away19 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −14.04 |
| M29 | Mirassol · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −15.36 |
| M30 | Flamengo RJ · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.37 | −15.73 |
| M31 | Juventude · Home5 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.76 | −17.49 |
| M32 | Atletico-MG · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.21 | −18.70 |
| M33 | Flamengo RJ · Home15 Nov 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.60 | −19.29 |
| M34 | Botafogo RJ · Away18 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.35 | −19.64 |
| M35 | Vitoria · Home23 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −20.78 |
| M36 | Santos · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −21.29 |
| M37 | Bahia · Away3 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.36 | −21.64 |
| M38 | Gremio · Home7 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.99 | −22.64 |
| Total | 17 | −22.64 | |||