Points
45Points expected by the market
45.35Gap
−0.35Yield
−0.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 8 | −6.18 | −55.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 28 | +10.56 | +94.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 9 | −4.73 | −46.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −4.48 | −48.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 19 | +6.17 | +73.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.35 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.70 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 9 | +4.39 | +141.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 8 | −3.38 | −34.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Santos · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.47 |
| M2 | Corinthians · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | +0.76 |
| M3 | Sport Recife · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.01 |
| M4 | Ceara · Away16 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +0.90 |
| M5 | Flamengo RJ · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.45 | +1.34 |
| M6 | Cruzeiro · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.24 |
| M7 | Palmeiras · Home4 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.70 | −0.46 |
| M8 | Vitoria · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.45 |
| M9 | Fortaleza · Home17 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.08 |
| M10 | Fluminense · Away24 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −0.78 |
| M11 | Bragantino · Home1 Jun 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −2.25 |
| M12 | Sao Paulo · Away13 Jun 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.13 | −0.12 |
| M13 | Botafogo RJ · Home12 Jul 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −1.21 |
| M14 | Gremio · Home19 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −1.85 |
| M15 | Internacional · Away27 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | −1.54 |
| M16 | Mirassol · Away2 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.45 |
| M17 | Atletico-MG · Home10 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −2.80 |
| M18 | Santos · Away17 Aug 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −0.73 |
| M19 | Juventude · Away20 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −2.43 |
| M20 | Corinthians · Home24 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.67 | −4.10 |
| M21 | Sport Recife · Away1 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.75 | −2.36 |
| M22 | Ceara · Home15 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | −3.09 |
| M23 | Flamengo RJ · Away21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.51 | −2.58 |
| M24 | Bahia · Home24 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −1.11 |
| M25 | Cruzeiro · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +0.60 |
| M26 | Palmeiras · Away1 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.50 | +0.09 |
| M27 | Vitoria · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.04 | +1.14 |
| M28 | Fortaleza · Away16 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +3.00 |
| M29 | Fluminense · Home20 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +4.84 |
| M30 | Bragantino · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +6.74 |
| M31 | Sao Paulo · Home2 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +5.17 |
| M32 | Botafogo RJ · Away5 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +4.29 |
| M33 | Juventude · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.10 | +2.19 |
| M34 | Gremio · Away20 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +1.23 |
| M35 | Bahia · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | +0.42 |
| M36 | Internacional · Home28 Nov 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.95 |
| M37 | Mirassol · Home2 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | +0.32 |
| M38 | Atletico-MG · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.67 | −0.35 |
| Total | 45 | −0.35 | |||