Points
45Points expected by the market
42.97Gap
+2.03Yield
−23.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.68 | +32.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.80 | +38.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 26 | +5.00 | +18.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 9 | −5.44 | −68.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.68 | +32.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.38 | −1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 26 | +5.00 | +18.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.42 | +117.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 9 | −4.61 | −66.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Juventude · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.10 |
| M2 | Flamengo RJ · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.94 |
| M3 | Atletico-MG · Away14 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.32 | −1.61 |
| M4 | Fortaleza · Home17 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −0.13 |
| M5 | Fluminense · Away20 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.12 |
| M6 | Gremio · Home27 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.39 |
| M7 | Ceara · Away3 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.47 |
| M8 | Vasco · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.19 |
| M9 | Bahia · Away18 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.99 |
| M10 | Santos · Home25 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −2.58 |
| M11 | Corinthians · Away1 Jun 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.23 | −2.34 |
| M12 | Cruzeiro · Home12 Jun 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −2.49 |
| M13 | Internacional · Away12 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −3.17 |
| M14 | Botafogo RJ · Away17 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.47 | −2.69 |
| M15 | Bragantino · Home20 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −1.16 |
| M16 | Sport Recife · Home24 Jul 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −1.69 |
| M17 | Mirassol · Away26 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −1.48 |
| M18 | Palmeiras · Home3 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −1.72 |
| M19 | Sao Paulo · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.52 |
| M20 | Juventude · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.90 | −3.42 |
| M21 | Flamengo RJ · Away26 Aug 2025 | L 0-8 | 0 | −0.33 | −3.75 |
| M22 | Atletico-MG · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −1.92 |
| M23 | Fortaleza · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.84 |
| M24 | Fluminense · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −4.23 |
| M25 | Gremio · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −5.17 |
| M26 | Ceara · Home2 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −3.69 |
| M27 | Vasco · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.79 | −4.48 |
| M28 | Bahia · Home17 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.68 | −3.80 |
| M29 | Santos · Away21 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.29 | −1.51 |
| M30 | Corinthians · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −2.87 |
| M31 | Cruzeiro · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −3.44 |
| M32 | Internacional · Home5 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −1.88 |
| M33 | Botafogo RJ · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.09 |
| M34 | Palmeiras · Away19 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.50 | −1.58 |
| M35 | Sport Recife · Away23 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −0.16 |
| M36 | Mirassol · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.37 |
| M37 | Bragantino · Away3 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.90 | +0.47 |
| M38 | Sao Paulo · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +2.03 |
| Total | 45 | +2.03 | |||