Points
53Points expected by the market
42.48Gap
+10.52Yield
+18.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 27 | +7.73 | +38.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +0.37 | −4.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +1.54 | +13.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.88 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 24 | +6.52 | +33.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.57 | −41.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.21 | +81.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +1.95 | +25.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 10 | +1.62 | +26.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Internacional · Away28 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +2.00 |
| M2 | Santos · Home12 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +3.30 |
| M3 | Corinthians · Home19 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | +1.91 |
| M4 | Bragantino · Away25 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +1.86 |
| M5 | Fluminense · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.98 |
| M6 | Cruzeiro · Home18 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.36 |
| M7 | Coritiba · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +3.63 |
| M8 | Botafogo RJ · Home29 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +4.91 |
| M9 | Bahia · Away2 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +4.02 |
| M10 | Atletico-MG · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +2.89 |
| M11 | Chapecoense-SC · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +3.78 |
| M12 | Palmeiras · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | +3.06 |
| M13 | Vitoria · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +4.05 |
| M14 | Gremio · Home3 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +3.16 |
| M15 | Vasco · Away11 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | +2.26 |
| M16 | Flamengo RJ · Home17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +2.18 |
| M17 | Remo · Away24 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +4.05 |
| M18 | Mirassol · Home30 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +5.28 |
| M19 | Sao Paulo · Away23 Jul 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +7.27 |
| M20 | Internacional · Home25 Jul 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +8.55 |
| M21 | Corinthians · Away30 Jul 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | +8.44 |
| M22 | Santos · Away9 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +10.36 |
| M23 | Bragantino · Home15 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +9.68 |
| M24 | Botafogo RJ · Away25 Aug 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.77 | +11.45 |
| M25 | Fluminense · Home30 Aug 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.50 | +10.94 |
| M26 | Cruzeiro · Away6 Sep 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | +10.09 |
| M27 | Coritiba · Away12 Sep 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.45 | +9.64 |
| M28 | Bahia · Home20 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +11.17 |
| M29 | Atletico-MG · Home9 Oct 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | +10.51 |
| M30 | Chapecoense-SC · Away12 Oct 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +11.72 |
| M31 | Palmeiras · Home17 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +10.52 |
| Total | 53 | +10.52 | |||