Points
50Points expected by the market
42.42Gap
+7.58Yield
+18.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 2 | −2.44 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 29 | +10.30 | +61.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.15 | −40.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +1.87 | +41.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 2 | −2.44 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 26 | +8.86 | +55.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.83 | +58.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.87 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.44 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 1 | −4.98 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 11 | +2.74 | +56.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Palmeiras · Home28 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.24 |
| M2 | Bragantino · Away4 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | −1.30 |
| M3 | Remo · Home11 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.21 | −2.50 |
| M4 | Gremio · Away26 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.65 |
| M5 | Internacional · Home11 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −2.31 |
| M6 | Vitoria · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −3.50 |
| M7 | Sao Paulo · Home18 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −2.01 |
| M8 | Fluminense · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | −2.77 |
| M9 | Chapecoense-SC · Away2 Apr 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.34 |
| M10 | Athletico-PR · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +0.08 |
| M11 | Santos · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −1.05 |
| M12 | Coritiba · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.20 |
| M13 | Flamengo RJ · Home27 Apr 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.87 | −3.07 |
| M14 | Cruzeiro · Away3 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −0.98 |
| M15 | Botafogo RJ · Home10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −1.55 |
| M16 | Mirassol · Home16 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −0.26 |
| M17 | Corinthians · Away24 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.14 |
| M18 | Vasco · Away31 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +0.87 |
| M19 | Bahia · Home21 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +0.09 |
| M20 | Palmeiras · Away26 Jul 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.27 | +2.36 |
| M21 | Remo · Away8 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +2.01 |
| M22 | Gremio · Home16 Aug 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +3.12 |
| M23 | Internacional · Away22 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.11 | +3.23 |
| M24 | Vitoria · Home29 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +4.46 |
| M25 | Sao Paulo · Away5 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +3.48 |
| M26 | Fluminense · Home12 Sep 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +4.84 |
| M27 | Chapecoense-SC · Home19 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.23 | +3.61 |
| M28 | Bragantino · Home3 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +5.01 |
| M29 | Athletico-PR · Away9 Oct 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | +4.94 |
| M30 | Santos · Home11 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +6.52 |
| M31 | Coritiba · Home17 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +7.58 |
| Total | 50 | +7.58 | |||